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尼日利亚气候变化影响研究的系统综述:对可持续发展的启示

Systematic review of climate change impact research in Nigeria: implication for sustainable development.

作者信息

Okon E M, Falana B M, Solaja S O, Yakubu S O, Alabi O O, Okikiola B T, Awe T E, Adesina B T, Tokula B E, Kipchumba A K, Edeme A B

机构信息

Department of Animal Science, College of Agricultural Sciences, Landmark University, P.M.B. 1001 Omu-Aran, Kwara State, Nigeria.

Institute of Aquaculture, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling, Stirlingshire FK9 4LA, UK.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2021 Sep 6;7(9):e07941. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07941. eCollection 2021 Sep.

Abstract

There is evidence that Nigeria is already experiencing environmental challenges attributed to climate change (CC) and its impacts. This has clearly highlighted the need for knowledge-based strategies to help plan adequate mitigation and adaptation measures for the country. One of the basic requirements to ensure such strategies is the development of a database of national CC research. This will aid in the assessment of past and present scientific publications from which directions for future study can be mapped. The present study used standard, systematic, and bibliographic literature reviews to analyse the trend, focus, spatial variability, and effectiveness of published research on CC impacts in Nigeria. Four thematic areas of CC impact research were defined: Agriculture, Environment, Human and Multi-disciplinary study. A total of 701 articles were found to be relevant and the review shows that CC impacts and adaptations in the literature vary across research categories and locations. The period between 2011 (68 studies) and 2015 (80 studies) showed a tremendous rise in CC impact research with a peak in 2014 (84 studies). Studies in the agriculture category had the highest publications in 23 States of Nigeria. The review revealed three research gaps: (1) lack of research that investigated the magnitude of present and potential future impacts in the aquatic environment (2) little attention on CC impacts and adaptation in the Northern regions of Nigeria (3) absence of study investigating the effects of multiple variables of CC at the same time. The findings suggest that it would be useful to advance CC research in Nigeria beyond perceptive approaches to more quantitative ones. This is particularly important for highly vulnerable animals, crops, locations, and for better planning of adaptation strategies.

摘要

有证据表明,尼日利亚已经在经历归因于气候变化(CC)及其影响的环境挑战。这清楚地凸显了基于知识的战略的必要性,以帮助该国规划适当的缓解和适应措施。确保此类战略的基本要求之一是建立国家气候变化研究数据库。这将有助于评估过去和现在的科学出版物,从中可以规划未来的研究方向。本研究采用标准、系统和文献综述的方法,分析了尼日利亚已发表的关于气候变化影响的研究的趋势、重点、空间变异性和有效性。确定了气候变化影响研究的四个主题领域:农业、环境、人类和多学科研究。共发现701篇相关文章,综述表明,文献中气候变化的影响和适应在研究类别和地点上各不相同。2011年(68项研究)至2015年(80项研究)期间,气候变化影响研究急剧增加,2014年达到峰值(84项研究)。农业类别的研究在尼日利亚的23个州发表的文章最多。综述揭示了三个研究空白:(1)缺乏对水生环境当前和潜在未来影响程度的研究;(2)对尼日利亚北部地区气候变化影响和适应的关注较少;(3)缺乏同时研究多种气候变化变量影响的研究。研究结果表明,将尼日利亚的气候变化研究从感知方法推进到更多的定量方法将是有用的。这对于高度脆弱的动物、作物、地点以及更好地规划适应战略尤为重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9ff5/8436081/3ef36e9a0d8c/gr1.jpg

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