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1950-2019 年中国 4 个旱獭鼠疫疫源地人间鼠疫病例和鼠疫耶尔森菌分离株的分布与特征。

Distribution and Characteristics of Human Plague Cases and Yersinia pestis Isolates from 4 Marmota Plague Foci, China, 1950-2019.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2021 Oct;27(10):2544-2553. doi: 10.3201/eid2710.202239.

Abstract

We analyzed epidemiologic characteristics and distribution of 1,067 human plague cases and 5,958 Yersinia pestis isolates collected from humans, host animals, and insect vectors during 1950-2019 in 4 Marmota plague foci in China. The case-fatality rate for plague in humans was 68.88%; the overall trend slowly decreased over time but fluctuated greatly. Most human cases (98.31%) and isolates (82.06%) identified from any source were from the Marmota himalayana plague focus. The tendency among human cases could be divided into 3 stages: 1950-1969, 1970-2003, and 2004-2019. The Marmota sibirica plague focus has not had identified human cases nor isolates since 1926. However, in the other 3 foci, Y. pestis continues to circulate among animal hosts; ecologic factors might affect local Y. pestis activity. Marmota plague foci are active in China, and the epidemic boundary is constantly expanding, posing a potential threat to domestic and global public health.

摘要

我们分析了 1950-2019 年中国 4 个旱獭鼠疫自然疫源地的 1067 例人间鼠疫病例和 5958 株鼠疫耶尔森菌分离株的流行病学特征和分布。人间鼠疫的病死率为 68.88%;总体趋势随时间缓慢下降,但波动较大。从任何来源鉴定的大多数人间病例(98.31%)和分离株(82.06%)均来自喜马拉雅旱獭鼠疫自然疫源地。人间鼠疫病例的趋势可分为 3 个阶段:1950-1969 年、1970-2003 年和 2004-2019 年。自 1926 年以来,在西伯利亚旱獭鼠疫自然疫源地未发现人间病例和分离株。然而,在其他 3 个疫源地,鼠疫耶尔森菌继续在动物宿主中循环;生态因素可能影响局部鼠疫耶尔森菌的活动。旱獭鼠疫自然疫源地在中国活跃,流行边界不断扩大,对国内和全球公共卫生构成潜在威胁。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/13d8/8462326/c768cd83fcae/20-2239-F1.jpg

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