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基于时间地理学的新冠病毒测量。

Measuring of the COVID-19 Based on Time-Geography.

机构信息

School of Resources and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China.

School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430070, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Sep 30;18(19):10313. doi: 10.3390/ijerph181910313.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph181910313
PMID:34639612
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8507668/
Abstract

At the end of 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic began to emerge on a global scale, including China, and left deep traces on all societies. The spread of this virus shows remarkable temporal and spatial characteristics. Therefore, analyzing and visualizing the characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic are relevant to the current pressing need and have realistic significance. In this article, we constructed a new model based on time-geography to analyze the movement pattern of COVID-19 in Hebei Province. The results show that as time changed COVID-19 presented an obvious dynamic distribution in space. It gradually migrated from the southwest region of Hebei Province to the northeast region. The factors affecting the moving patterns may be the migration and flow of population between and within the province, the economic development level and the development of road traffic of each city. It can be divided into three stages in terms of time. The first stage is the gradual spread of the epidemic, the second is the full spread of the epidemic, and the third is the time and again of the epidemic. Finally, we can verify the accuracy of the model through the standard deviation ellipse and location entropy.

摘要

2019 年末,COVID-19 疫情在全球范围内开始出现,包括中国,并在所有社会留下了深刻的痕迹。该病毒的传播具有显著的时空特征。因此,分析和可视化 COVID-19 疫情的特征与当前紧迫的需求相关,具有现实意义。在本文中,我们构建了一个基于时间地理学的新模型,用于分析河北省 COVID-19 的运动模式。结果表明,随着时间的变化,COVID-19 在空间上呈现出明显的动态分布。它逐渐从河北省的西南地区迁移到东北地区。影响移动模式的因素可能是省内和省内人口的迁移和流动、各城市的经济发展水平和道路交通发展。就时间而言,它可以分为三个阶段。第一阶段是疫情的逐渐传播,第二阶段是疫情的全面传播,第三阶段是疫情的一再出现。最后,我们可以通过标准差椭圆和位置熵来验证模型的准确性。

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本文引用的文献

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COVID-19 and its long-term effects on activity participation and travel behaviour: A multiperspective view.新型冠状病毒肺炎及其对活动参与和出行行为的长期影响:多视角观察
J Transp Geogr. 2021 Jul;95:103144. doi: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103144. Epub 2021 Jul 10.
2
Identification of superspreading environment under COVID-19 through human mobility data.通过人类流动数据识别 COVID-19 下的超级传播环境。
Sci Rep. 2021 Feb 25;11(1):4699. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-84089-w.
3
Modelling and predicting the spatio-temporal spread of cOVID-19 in Italy.
建模并预测 COVID-19 在意大利的时空传播。
BMC Infect Dis. 2020 Sep 23;20(1):700. doi: 10.1186/s12879-020-05415-7.
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The spatio-temporal epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in Africa.非洲 COVID-19 疫情爆发的时空流行动力学。
Epidemiol Infect. 2020 Sep 2;148:e212. doi: 10.1017/S0950268820001983.
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Analysis of the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of China's herbivorous animal husbandry industry.分析中国草食畜牧业时空演变特征及影响因素。
PLoS One. 2020 Aug 19;15(8):e0237827. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237827. eCollection 2020.
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Spatiotemporal transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on critical healthcare capacity.COVID-19 大流行的时空传播动态及其对关键医疗保健能力的影响。
Health Place. 2020 Jul;64:102404. doi: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2020.102404. Epub 2020 Jul 25.
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Strongly Heterogeneous Transmission of COVID-19 in Mainland China: Local and Regional Variation.中国内地新冠病毒肺炎的强异质性传播:局部与区域差异
Front Med (Lausanne). 2020 Jun 19;7:329. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00329. eCollection 2020.
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An analysis of spatiotemporal pattern for COIVD-19 in China based on space-time cube.基于时空立方体分析中国 COVID-19 的时空模式。
J Med Virol. 2020 Sep;92(9):1587-1595. doi: 10.1002/jmv.25834. Epub 2020 Apr 25.
9
The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China.人口流动和防控措施对中国 COVID-19 疫情的影响。
Science. 2020 May 1;368(6490):493-497. doi: 10.1126/science.abb4218. Epub 2020 Mar 25.
10
Potential path volume (PPV): a geometric estimator for space use in 3D.潜在路径体积(PPV):一种用于三维空间使用情况的几何估计器。
Mov Ecol. 2019 Apr 29;7:14. doi: 10.1186/s40462-019-0158-4. eCollection 2019.