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巴伊亚州西部新冠肺炎的内陆传播:死亡病例和确诊病例的流行病学概况及空间分析

Inland expansion of COVID-19 in Western Bahia: epidemiological profile and spatial analysis of deaths and confirmed cases.

作者信息

Gomes Daiene Rosa, Souza Raiane Costa, Oliveira Uldérico Rios, Mattos Mússio Pirajá, Aleluia Ítalo Ricardo Santos, Mapeli Ana Maria

机构信息

Núcleo de Pesquisa em Saúde Coletiva, Centro das Ciências Biológicas e da Saúde, Universidade Federal do Oeste da Bahia (UFOB). R. Professor José Seabra de Lemos 316, Recanto dos Pássaros. 47808-021 Barreiras BA Brasil.

Coordenadoria de Benefícios e Qualidade de Vida, UFOB. Barreiras BA Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2021 Oct;26(10):4665-4680. doi: 10.1590/1413-812320212610.11262021. Epub 2021 May 26.

DOI:10.1590/1413-812320212610.11262021
PMID:34730653
Abstract

This article aims to describe the epidemiological profile and the spatial distribution of deaths and confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the health macroregion of Western Bahia. An ecological study on the inland expansion of SARS-CoV-2 was performed from March 21, 2020 to March 31, 2021 considering incidence and mortality rate, case fatality rate, case density and moving average of cases and deaths. 37,036 cases and 536 confirmed deaths were registered. Of all cases, 94.5% recovered and 4.0% remained active. The incidence rate was 3884.1/100,000 inhabitants, the mortality rate 56.2/100,000 inhabitants and the fatality rate was 1.4% A predominance of very high and high intensity of the occurrence of COVID-19 in the macroregion was identified and moving average revealed an increasing trend. Findings show a high risk of infection and death in the macroregion, in addition to a growing trend in accumulated cases, confirming the inland expansion of the disease.

摘要

本文旨在描述巴伊亚州西部卫生大区新冠病毒病死亡病例和确诊病例的流行病学概况及空间分布。2020年3月21日至2021年3月31日,针对严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的内陆传播开展了一项生态学研究,考量发病率、死亡率、病死率、病例密度以及病例和死亡的移动平均值。共登记了37036例病例和536例确诊死亡病例。在所有病例中,94.5%康复,4.0%仍处于活动状态。发病率为3884.1/10万居民,死亡率为56.2/10万居民,病死率为1.4%。研究确定该卫生大区新冠病毒病的发生以极高和高强度为主,移动平均值显示呈上升趋势。研究结果表明,该卫生大区存在高感染风险和高死亡风险,此外累积病例呈增长趋势,证实了该疾病在内陆的传播。

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