Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH), Economic Research and Support Office (ERSO), Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
Am J Ind Med. 2022 Jan;65(1):20-29. doi: 10.1002/ajim.23307. Epub 2021 Nov 4.
Of the 22.8 million coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases recorded in the United States as of March 21, 2021 with age information, three-fourths were in the workingage group, indicating the potentially high economic impact of the pandemic. This study estimates the cost of lost work hours associated with the COVID-19 pandemic between March 2020 through February 2021.
I used a before-and-after analysis of data from the 2017-2021 Current Population Survey to estimate the costs of lost work hours due to economic, workers' own health, and other reasons, from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Across March 2020 through February 2021 (a year since the start of the pandemic in the United States), the estimated cost of lost work hours associated with the COVID-19 pandemic among US full-time workers was $138 billion (95% confidence interval [CI]: $73.4 billion-$202.46 billion). Shares of the costs attributed to economic, workers' own health, and other reasons were 33.7%, 13.7%, and 52.6%, respectively.
The $138 billion cost of lost work hours associated with the COVID-19 pandemic during March 2020 through February 2021 highlights the economic consequences of the pandemic, as well as indicating the potential benefit of public health and safety interventions used to mitigate COVID-19 spread.
截至 2021 年 3 月 21 日,美国记录的 2280 万例 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例中,有四分之三的病例年龄在工作年龄段,表明大流行可能对经济造成重大影响。本研究估计了 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 2 月期间与 COVID-19 大流行相关的工作时间损失成本。
我使用了 2017-2021 年当前人口调查的数据进行前后分析,以估计 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 2 月(美国大流行开始一年后)因经济、工人自身健康和其他原因导致的工作时间损失成本。
在 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 2 月期间(美国大流行开始一年后),美国全职工人因 COVID-19 大流行而导致的工作时间损失成本估计为 1380 亿美元(95%置信区间[CI]:734 亿至 2024.6 亿美元)。归因于经济、工人自身健康和其他原因的成本份额分别为 33.7%、13.7%和 52.6%。
在 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 2 月期间,与 COVID-19 大流行相关的工作时间损失成本为 1380 亿美元,突显了大流行的经济后果,并表明用于减轻 COVID-19 传播的公共卫生和安全干预措施具有潜在效益。