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适应灾害风险——概述。

Adaptation to Disaster Risk-An Overview.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China.

College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Oct 25;18(21):11187. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182111187.

Abstract

The role of natural disaster adaptation is increasingly being considered in academic research. The Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goal 13 require measuring the progress made on this adaptation. This review summarizes the development stages of adaptation, the multiple attributes and analysis of adaptation definitions, the models and methods for adaptation analysis, and the research progress of natural disaster adaptation. Adaptation research methods are generally classified into two types: case analysis and mathematical models. The current adaptive research in the field of natural disasters focuses primarily on the response of the social economy, especially the adaptive decision making and risk perception at farm-level scales (farmer households). The evaluation cases of adaptation in the field of disasters exist mostly as a part of vulnerability evaluation. Adaptation and adaptive capacity should focus on four core issues: adaptation to what; who or what adapts; how does adaptation occur; what is adaptation; and how good is the adaptation. The main purpose of the "spatial scale-exposure-vulnerability" three-dimensional scales of adaptation assessment is to explore the differences in index system under different scenarios, the spatial pattern of adaptations, and the geographical explanation of its formation mechanism. The results of this study can help and guide future research on integrating climate change and disaster adaptations especially in regional sustainable development and risk reduction strategies.

摘要

自然灾害适应的作用在学术研究中越来越受到关注。《巴黎协定》和可持续发展目标 13 要求衡量在这一适应方面取得的进展。本综述总结了适应的发展阶段、适应定义的多个属性和分析、适应分析的模型和方法,以及自然灾害适应的研究进展。适应研究方法一般分为两类:案例分析和数学模型。目前,自然灾害领域的适应研究主要集中在社会经济的响应上,特别是农户层面的适应决策和风险感知。灾害领域适应评估的案例大多作为脆弱性评估的一部分存在。适应和适应能力应侧重于四个核心问题:适应什么;谁或什么在适应;适应如何发生;适应是什么;适应效果如何。适应评估的“空间尺度-暴露-脆弱性”三维尺度的主要目的是探索不同情景下指标体系的差异、适应的空间格局,以及其形成机制的地理解释。本研究结果可以帮助和指导未来气候变化和灾害适应的整合研究,特别是在区域可持续发展和减少风险战略方面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/60fe/8582783/c5efb285e24e/ijerph-18-11187-g001.jpg

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