Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA
Sierra Nevada Research Institute, University of California, Merced, California, USA.
BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Nov;6(11). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006394.
Rapid increases in the trade of global red and processed meat impede international efforts toward sustainable diets by increasing meat consumption. However, little research has examined cross-country variations in diet-related non-communicable diseases (NCDs) because of meat trade. We aimed to examine the impact of red and processed meat trade on diet-related NCDs and to identify which countries are particularly vulnerable to diet-related NCDs due to red and processed meat trade.
By selecting 14 red meat and six processed meat items, we investigated bilateral meat trade flows across 154 countries. Then, we integrated health data and information on red and processed meat trade to quantify the country-specific burden of diet-related NCDs attributable to the meat trade using a comparative risk assessment framework.
Results show that global increases in red and processed meat trade contributed to the abrupt increase of diet-related NCDs, and the attributable burden of diet-related NCDs had large geographical variations among countries. We also identified responsible exporting countries that increase diet-related NCD risks in importing countries. Over the period from 1993 to 2018, island countries in the Caribbean and Oceania were particularly vulnerable to diet-related NCD incidents and mortality due to large meat imports. In addition, countries in Northern and Eastern Europe have exceedingly increased attributable death and disability-adjusted life year rates via meat imports.
Our findings suggest that both exporters and importers must urgently undertake cross-sectoral actions to reduce the meat trade's health impacts. To prevent unintended health consequences due to red and processed meat trade, future interventions need to integrate health policies with agricultural and trade policies by cooperating with both responsible exporting and importing countries.
全球红肉类和加工肉类贸易的迅速增长,通过增加肉类消费,阻碍了国际可持续饮食努力。然而,由于肉类贸易,很少有研究调查与饮食相关的非传染性疾病(NCDs)的国家间差异。我们旨在研究红肉类和加工肉类贸易对与饮食相关的 NCDs 的影响,并确定哪些国家由于红肉类和加工肉类贸易而特别容易受到与饮食相关的 NCDs 的影响。
通过选择 14 种红肉类和 6 种加工肉类产品,我们调查了 154 个国家之间的双边肉类贸易流量。然后,我们整合了卫生数据和红肉类及加工肉类贸易信息,使用比较风险评估框架,量化了与肉类贸易相关的与饮食相关的 NCDs 的国家特定负担。
结果表明,全球红肉类和加工肉类贸易的增加导致了与饮食相关的 NCDs 的急剧增加,各国之间与饮食相关的 NCDs 的负担存在很大的地域差异。我们还确定了增加进口国与饮食相关的 NCD 风险的责任出口国。在 1993 年至 2018 年期间,加勒比和大洋洲的岛屿国家由于大量肉类进口,特别容易受到与饮食相关的 NCD 事件和死亡率的影响。此外,北欧和东欧国家通过肉类进口,使归因死亡和伤残调整生命年率异常增加。
我们的研究结果表明,出口国和进口国都必须紧急采取跨部门行动,以减少肉类贸易对健康的影响。为了防止由于红肉类和加工肉类贸易而产生意外的健康后果,未来的干预措施需要通过与责任出口国和进口国合作,将卫生政策与农业和贸易政策相结合。