Qian Chen, Leelaprachakul Patraporn, Landers Matthew, Low Carissa, Dey Anind K, Doryab Afsaneh
Department of Engineering Systems and Environment, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA.
Heinz College of Information Systems and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
Sensors (Basel). 2021 Nov 12;21(22):7510. doi: 10.3390/s21227510.
Hospital readmissions impose an extreme burden on both health systems and patients. Timely management of the postoperative complications that result in readmissions is necessary to mitigate the effects of these events. However, accurately predicting readmissions is very challenging, and current approaches demonstrated a limited ability to forecast which patients are likely to be readmitted. Our research addresses the challenge of daily readmission risk prediction after the hospital discharge via leveraging the abilities of mobile data streams collected from patients devices in a probabilistic deep learning framework. Through extensive experiments on a real-world dataset that includes smartphone and Fitbit device data from 49 patients collected for 60 days after discharge, we demonstrate our framework's ability to closely simulate the readmission risk trajectories for cancer patients.
医院再入院给医疗系统和患者都带来了极大负担。及时处理导致再入院的术后并发症对于减轻这些事件的影响至关重要。然而,准确预测再入院非常具有挑战性,目前的方法在预测哪些患者可能再次入院方面能力有限。我们的研究通过在概率深度学习框架中利用从患者设备收集的移动数据流的能力,应对出院后每日再入院风险预测的挑战。通过对一个真实世界数据集进行广泛实验,该数据集包括49名患者出院后60天收集的智能手机和Fitbit设备数据,我们证明了我们的框架能够紧密模拟癌症患者的再入院风险轨迹。