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基于堆叠长短期记忆网络和迁移学习的油藏产量预测模型

Reservoir Production Prediction Model Based on a Stacked LSTM Network and Transfer Learning.

作者信息

Dong Yukun, Zhang Yu, Liu Fubin, Cheng Xiaotong

机构信息

College of Computer Science and Technology, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao 266580, China.

出版信息

ACS Omega. 2021 Dec 7;6(50):34700-34711. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.1c05132. eCollection 2021 Dec 21.

Abstract

Gas injection and water injection are common and effective methods to improve oil recovery. To ensure its production effect, it is necessary to simulate the oilfield production process. However, traditional composition simulation runs a large number of calculations and takes a long time. Through the analysis of relevant data, we found that production is affected by many factors and has a strong sequential character. Therefore, this paper proposes a deep learning model for reservoir production prediction based on stacked long short-term memory network (LSTM). It is applied to other well patterns with a short production time and a few samples in the same oilfield block by transfer learning. The model achieves an effective combination with the actual reservoir production process. At the same time, it uses the knowledge learned from the well pattern with sufficient historical data to assist in the establishment of the model of the well pattern with limited data. This can obtain accurate prediction results and save the model training time, thus getting more effective application effects than composition simulation. This paper verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method through the data and multiple different injection combinations of the Tarim oilfield.

摘要

注气和注水是提高原油采收率的常用且有效的方法。为确保其生产效果,有必要模拟油田生产过程。然而,传统的组分模拟需要进行大量计算,耗时较长。通过对相关数据的分析,我们发现产量受多种因素影响且具有很强的顺序性。因此,本文提出了一种基于堆叠长短期记忆网络(LSTM)的储层产量预测深度学习模型。通过迁移学习将其应用于同一油田区块中生产时间短且样本少的其他井网。该模型实现了与实际储层生产过程的有效结合。同时,利用从具有足够历史数据的井网中学到的知识来辅助建立数据有限的井网模型。这样既能获得准确的预测结果,又能节省模型训练时间,从而比组分模拟获得更有效的应用效果。本文通过塔里木油田的数据和多种不同的注入组合验证了所提方法的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6f5a/8697399/0e85ac2fea1d/ao1c05132_0002.jpg

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