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瑞典技术创新与环境退化之间的非对称关系:综合和细分分析。

Asymmetric nexus between technological innovation and environmental degradation in Sweden: an aggregated and disaggregated analysis.

机构信息

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science, Cyprus International University, Nicosia, Turkey.

Department of Earth Science, Faculty of Science, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ogun State, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 May;29(24):36547-36564. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17982-6. Epub 2022 Jan 22.

Abstract

The number of studies on the relationship between technological innovation and CO emissions has gradually increased in recent years, although there is no clear agreement in the literature. Previous research has revealed both positive and negative consequences of technological innovation on the environment. Moreover, most researchers have used linear approaches to explore this connection, which can result in spurious outcomes when nonlinearities exist in the data. According to this background, this research utilizes asymmetric ARDL and spectral causality approaches to assess the asymmetric connection between technological innovation and CO emissions in Sweden utilizing data from 1980 to 2018. In addition, the disaggregated asymmetric effects of technological innovation (patent resident and patent nonresident) on CO are also captured in this study. The Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed lag (NARDL) results showed that positive (negative) shocks in economic growth enhance environmental quality in Sweden. Furthermore, a positive (negative) shock in technological innovation causes a decrease (increase) in CO. Similarly, a positive (negative) shock in patent nonresident and residents leads to a decrease (increase) in CO emissions in Sweden. The outcomes from the spectral causality revealed that in the medium and long term, aggregate and disaggregate technological innovation can predict CO emissions in Sweden. This study has significant policy implications for policymakers and the government in Sweden. Based on these findings, the study suggests that the government of Sweden should investment in technological innovation since it plays a vital role in curbing environmental degradation.

摘要

近年来,关于技术创新与 CO 排放之间关系的研究数量逐渐增加,尽管文献中尚无明确共识。先前的研究揭示了技术创新对环境的正反两方面影响。此外,大多数研究人员都采用线性方法来探索这种联系,而当数据中存在非线性时,这可能会导致虚假结果。基于此背景,本研究利用非对称 ARDL 和谱因果关系方法,利用 1980 年至 2018 年瑞典的数据,评估了技术创新与 CO 排放之间的非对称关系。此外,本研究还捕捉到了技术创新(专利居民和专利非居民)对 CO 的非对称离散效应。非对称自回归分布滞后(NARDL)结果表明,经济增长的正向(负向)冲击会提高瑞典的环境质量。此外,技术创新的正向(负向)冲击会导致 CO 排放减少(增加)。同样,专利非居民和居民的正向(负向)冲击会导致瑞典 CO 排放减少(增加)。谱因果关系的结果表明,在中短期,总技术创新和离散技术创新可以预测瑞典的 CO 排放。本研究对瑞典的政策制定者和政府具有重要的政策意义。基于这些发现,本研究建议瑞典政府应投资技术创新,因为它在遏制环境恶化方面发挥着至关重要的作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8516/8782713/1fd654500aa2/11356_2021_17982_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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