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各种评分在预测COVID-19住院患者死亡率中的性能比较

Comparison of the Performance of Various Scores in Predicting Mortality Among Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19.

作者信息

Jilanee Daniyal, Khan Shamshad, Shah Syed Muhammad Huzaifa, Avendaño Capriles Natalia M, Avendaño Capriles Camilo Andrés, Tahir Hareem, Gul Afreenish, Ashraf Syed U, Tousif Sohaib, Jiwani Ahsun

机构信息

Medical College, Liaquat National Hospital and Medical College, Karachi, PAK.

Respiratory Medicine, Blackpool Victoria Hospital, Blackpool, GBR.

出版信息

Cureus. 2021 Dec 27;13(12):e20751. doi: 10.7759/cureus.20751. eCollection 2021 Dec.

Abstract

Introduction Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major social and economic challenge, devastating the health care system in several countries around the world. Mortality scores are important as they can help health care professionals to plan treatment as per the patients' condition for proper resource allocation. When it comes to patients, it provides invaluable information for implementing advance directives. The aim of the study is to validate mortality scores for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19. Methodology This was a retrospective cohort study that included data from three tertiary care hospitals in Karachi, Pakistan. Data of patients diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 infection and hospitalized in Ziauddin Hospital, Aga Khan Hospital, and Liaquat National Hospital were enrolled in the study from November 1, 2020, to April 30, 2021. Data was extracted from the hospital management information system (HMIS) using a structured questionnaire. Results Overall, 835 patients were included in the final analysis. The mean age of patients was 53.29 (SD ± 15.17) years, and 675 patients (80.72%) were males. The sensitivity of the CALL score is highest among all four scores, i.e., 77.25%, and the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score has the lowest sensitivity (59.79%). However, CALL has the lowest specificity (58.04%), while qSOFA has the highest specificity (73.91%). However, MulBSTA and CRB-65 have a sensitivity of 70.11% and 64.96%, respectively. Conclusion The current study showed that the CALL score had better sensitivity as compared to other mortality scores.

摘要

引言 2019 冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是一项重大的社会和经济挑战,对全球多个国家的医疗保健系统造成了破坏。死亡率评分很重要,因为它们可以帮助医疗保健专业人员根据患者的病情规划治疗方案,以实现合理的资源分配。对于患者而言,它为实施预先指示提供了宝贵信息。本研究的目的是验证用于预测 COVID-19 患者院内死亡率的死亡率评分。

方法 这是一项回顾性队列研究,纳入了巴基斯坦卡拉奇三家三级护理医院的数据。2020 年 11 月 1 日至 2021 年 4 月 30 日期间,在齐亚乌丁医院、阿迦汗医院和利亚卡特国家医院确诊感染 COVID-19 并住院的患者数据被纳入本研究。使用结构化问卷从医院管理信息系统(HMIS)中提取数据。

结果 总体而言,835 名患者纳入最终分析。患者的平均年龄为 53.29(标准差±15.17)岁,675 名患者(80.72%)为男性。CALL 评分在所有四个评分中的敏感性最高,即 77.25%,而快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)评分的敏感性最低(59.79%)。然而,CALL 的特异性最低(58.04%),而 qSOFA 的特异性最高(73.91%)。不过,MulBSTA 和 CRB-65 的敏感性分别为 70.11%和 64.96%。

结论 本研究表明,与其他死亡率评分相比,CALL 评分具有更好的敏感性。

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