Angina Jabili, Bachhu Anish, Talati Eesha, Talati Rishi, Rychtář Jan, Taylor Dewey
Department of Biology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23284-2012 USA.
Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23284-2014 USA.
Dyn Games Appl. 2022;12(1):133-146. doi: 10.1007/s13235-021-00418-8. Epub 2022 Jan 30.
Zika fever is an emerging mosquito-borne disease. While it often causes no or only mild symptoms that are similar to dengue fever, Zika virus can spread from a pregnant woman to her baby and cause severe birth defects. There is no specific treatment or vaccine, but the disease can be mitigated by using several control strategies, generally focusing on the reduction in mosquitoes or mosquito bites. In this paper, we model Zika virus transmission and incorporate a game-theoretical approach to study a repeated population game of DEET usage to prevent insect bites. We show that the optimal use effectively leads to disease elimination. This result is robust and not significantly dependent on the cost of the insect repellents.
寨卡热是一种新出现的蚊媒疾病。虽然它通常不会引起症状或仅引起与登革热相似的轻微症状，但寨卡病毒可从孕妇传播给胎儿并导致严重的出生缺陷。目前尚无特效治疗方法或疫苗，但可通过几种防控策略来减轻疾病影响，这些策略通常侧重于减少蚊虫或蚊虫叮咬。在本文中，我们对寨卡病毒传播进行建模，并采用博弈论方法研究重复的群体博弈中使用避蚊胺预防蚊虫叮咬的情况。我们表明，最优使用能有效消除疾病。这一结果很稳健，且对驱虫剂成本的依赖性不大。
