Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure 340271, Nigeria.
Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0028, South Africa.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Feb 6;19(3):1838. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19031838.
In low- and middle-income countries, children aged below 5 years frequently suffer from disease co-occurrence. This study assessed whether the co-occurrence of acute respiratory infection (ARI), diarrhoea and stunting observed at the child level could also be reflected ecologically. We considered disease data on 69,579 children (0-59 months) from the 2008, 2013, and 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Surveys using a hierarchical Bayesian spatial shared component model to separate the state-specific risk of each disease into an underlying disease-overall spatial pattern, common to the three diseases and a disease-specific spatial pattern. We found that ARI and stunting were more concentrated in the north-eastern and southern parts of the country, while diarrhoea was much higher in the northern parts. The disease-general spatial component was greater in the north-eastern and southern parts of the country. Identifying and reducing common risk factors to the three conditions could result in improved child health, particularly in the northeast and south of Nigeria.
在中低收入国家,5 岁以下儿童经常同时患有多种疾病。本研究评估了在儿童层面观察到的急性呼吸道感染(ARI)、腹泻和发育迟缓的同时发生情况是否也可以从生态角度反映出来。我们使用分层贝叶斯空间共享分量模型,考虑了来自 2008 年、2013 年和 2018 年尼日利亚人口与健康调查的 69579 名(0-59 个月)儿童的疾病数据,将每种疾病的特定州风险状态分为以下三种情况:潜在疾病总体空间模式(普遍存在于三种疾病)、常见疾病空间模式和疾病特异性空间模式。我们发现,ARI 和发育迟缓更集中在该国的东北部和南部,而腹泻在北部更为普遍。疾病总体空间成分在该国的东北部和南部更大。确定和减少这三种疾病的共同风险因素,可能会改善儿童健康状况,特别是在尼日利亚的东北部和南部。