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马来西亚向高可再生能源净零发电系统过渡。

Transitioning to a high renewable net-zero power generation system in Malaysia.

机构信息

Academy of Sciences Malaysia, Menara Matrade, Tingkat 20, Sayap Barat, Jalan Sultan Haji Ahmad Shah, 50480 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Invite Green Consultancy, Lintang Pantai Jerjak 3, Gelugor 11700, Penang, Malaysia.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Apr 18;380(2221):20210132. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0132. Epub 2022 Feb 28.

Abstract

Malaysia is a net importer of coal, petroleum products and piped natural gas. Moreover, its primary energy supply is dominated by fossil fuels, at about 93% in total, with coal and natural gas constituting the highest shares in electricity generation. Thus, there is need for Malaysia to take swift action in transitioning to a high renewable energy system for long-term sustainability and meeting its climate action commitment under the Paris Agreement. A net-zero emissions vision guided by a roadmap may effectively motivate and catalyse carbon-free energy deployments. In this paper, we revisit the carbon-free energy roadmap that was developed in 2015 and compare it with the current generation development plan to identify the gaps between them. We argue that the roadmap is still relevant to the net-zero emissions vision; however, we have also identified gaps that merit further research and improvement. The identified gaps mainly relate to more recent data, along with technology and policy developments. Accordingly, we put forward potential research suggestions to bridge these gaps for future development of a roadmap that would assist Malaysia in shaping a long-term plan towards realizing a high renewable net-zero power generation system. This article is part of the theme issue 'Developing resilient energy systems'.

摘要

马来西亚是煤炭、石油产品和管道天然气的净进口国。此外,其主要能源供应以化石燃料为主,约占总量的 93%,其中煤炭和天然气在发电中占比最高。因此,马来西亚需要迅速采取行动,向高可再生能源系统过渡,以实现长期可持续性,并履行其在《巴黎协定》下的气候行动承诺。一个以路线图为指导的净零排放愿景,可以有效地激励和促进无碳能源的部署。在本文中,我们重新审视了 2015 年制定的无碳能源路线图,并将其与当前的代开发计划进行了比较,以确定它们之间的差距。我们认为,该路线图仍然与净零排放愿景相关;然而,我们也发现了一些差距,需要进一步研究和改进。这些差距主要涉及到更近期的数据,以及技术和政策的发展。因此,我们提出了一些潜在的研究建议,以弥合这些差距,为未来制定路线图提供帮助,以协助马来西亚制定实现高可再生能源净零发电系统的长期计划。本文是“开发有弹性的能源系统”主题的一部分。

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