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2021年埃塞俄比亚东南部巴勒州古拉达莫勒区麻疹疫情调查

Measles Outbreak Investigation in Guradamole District of Bale Zone, South Eastern Ethiopia, 2021.

作者信息

Tsegaye Geremew, Gezahegn Yenealem, Tesfaye Assegid, Mulatu Gadissa, Bulcha Gemechu Gudina, Berhanu Naod

机构信息

Ethiopian Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Program, Faculty of Public Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.

Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Public Health, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Infect Drug Resist. 2022 Feb 27;15:669-683. doi: 10.2147/IDR.S343270. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Measles is a highly contagious viral illness and globally, 142,300 people died from measles in 2018. On 25 March 2021, an outbreak of measles was reported from Guradamole district Bale Zone Southeast Ethiopia. Hence, we investigated to determine existence of the outbreak and to identify the associated factors.

METHOD

Descriptive and 1:2 unmatched case-control study was done in Guradamole district from March 25 to April 9/2021. For the descriptive study, a total of 98 cases were used. To identify the factor associated with the outbreak, 60 cases were selected by computer-generated simple random method by using line list as a sampling frame and 120 controls were studied. Active cases were identified through home-to-home searching in affected kebeles and controls were selected from neighbors of cases. Five serum samples were taken and an IgM test was done to confirm cases. Cases were any person who developed fever, maculopapular rash and cough, coryza or conjunctivitis while controls were without such diagnosis. We collected data by using a structured questionnaire, cases were described by time, place, and person; logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with measles. In the multivariable analysis -value <0.05 was declared statistical significance.

RESULTS

Overall, 98 cases were identified with an overall attack rate of 12/1000 population and a case fatality rate (CFR) of 7%. The highest attack rate (38/1000 population) and CFR (57%) were among children aged <59 months. Vaccination efficacy was calculated to be 82.6%. Being unvaccinated (adjusted odds ratio/AOR=5.66, 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.24-25.81), contact with patient (AOR=3.24, 95%CI: 1.03-10.17), moderate malnutrition (AOR=4.34, 95%CI: 2.14-8.814), distance from health facility (AOR=4.58, 95%CI: 1.39-15.19) and history of travel to affected area (AOR=3.99, 95%CI: 1.31-12.19) were shown significant associated with measles infection.

CONCLUSION

The attack and fatality rate of the investigation were high. Being unvaccinated, distant from the health facility, malnutrition, and history of contact with measles case were associated with the outbreak. We recommend conducting vaccination campaigns, interventions to malnutrition, and strengthening routine immunization programs to reduce future measles outbreaks.

摘要

背景

麻疹是一种传染性极强的病毒性疾病,2018年全球有14.23万人死于麻疹。2021年3月25日,埃塞俄比亚东南部巴勒州古拉达莫勒区报告了麻疹疫情。因此,我们展开调查以确定疫情是否存在,并找出相关因素。

方法

2021年3月25日至4月9日在古拉达莫勒区进行了描述性研究和1:2非匹配病例对照研究。对于描述性研究,共使用了98例病例。为确定与疫情相关的因素,以病例一览表为抽样框架,通过计算机生成的简单随机方法选取60例病例,并研究120名对照。通过在受影响的社区挨家挨户搜寻来确定现患病例,对照则从病例的邻居中选取。采集了5份血清样本并进行IgM检测以确诊病例。病例为出现发热、斑丘疹、咳嗽、鼻炎或结膜炎的任何人,而对照则无此类诊断。我们使用结构化问卷收集数据,按时间、地点和人物描述病例;采用逻辑回归来确定与麻疹相关的因素。在多变量分析中,P值<0.05被判定具有统计学意义。

结果

总体而言,共确定98例病例,总罹患率为12/1000人口,病死率(CFR)为7%。<59月龄儿童的罹患率最高(38/1000人口),病死率最高(57%)。计算得出疫苗接种效力为82.6%。未接种疫苗(调整比值比/AOR=5.66,95%置信区间,CI:1.24 - 25.81)、与患者接触(AOR=3.24,95%CI:1.03 - 10.17)、中度营养不良(AOR=4.34,95%CI:2.14 - 8.814)、与医疗机构的距离(AOR=4.58,95%CI:1.39 - 15.19)以及前往疫区的病史(AOR=3.99,95%CI:1.31 - 12.19)均显示与麻疹感染显著相关。

结论

本次调查的罹患率和病死率较高。未接种疫苗、距离医疗机构远、营养不良以及与麻疹病例的接触史与此次疫情相关。我们建议开展疫苗接种运动、针对营养不良的干预措施,并加强常规免疫规划以减少未来的麻疹疫情。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5221/8893148/0d0594e5558b/IDR-15-669-g0001.jpg

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