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基于弹性网络和贝叶斯网络探究慢性阻塞性肺疾病的影响因素。

Exploring influencing factors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease based on elastic net and Bayesian network.

机构信息

Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China.

Shanxi Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Taiyuan, 030012, Shanxi, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 May 9;12(1):7563. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-11125-8.

Abstract

This study aimed to construct Bayesian networks (BNs) to analyze the network relationships between COPD and its influencing factors, and the strength of each factor's influence on COPD was reflected through network reasoning. Elastic Net and Max-Min Hill-Climbing (MMHC) algorithm were adopted to screen the variables on the surveillance data of COPD among residents in Shanxi Province, China from 2014 to 2015, and construct BNs respectively. 10 variables finally entered the model after screening by Elastic Net. The BNs constructed by MMHC showed that smoking status, household air pollution, family history, cough, air hunger or dyspnea were directly related to COPD, and Gender was indirectly linked to COPD through smoking status. Moreover, smoking status, household air pollution and family history were the parent nodes of COPD, and cough, air hunger or dyspnea represented the child nodes of COPD. In other words, smoking status, household air pollution and family history were related to the occurrence of COPD, and COPD would make patients' cough, air hunger or dyspnea worse. Generally speaking, BNs could reveal the complex network linkages between COPD and its relevant factors well, making it more convenient to carry out targeted prevention and control of COPD.

摘要

本研究旨在构建贝叶斯网络(BNs),以分析 COPD 及其影响因素之间的网络关系,并通过网络推理反映每个因素对 COPD 的影响程度。采用弹性网络和最大最小爬山法(MMHC)算法,对 2014-2015 年中国山西省居民 COPD 监测数据中的变量进行筛选,并分别构建 BNs。经弹性网络筛选后,最终有 10 个变量进入模型。MMHC 构建的 BNs 显示,吸烟状况、家庭空气污染、家族史、咳嗽、气促或呼吸困难与 COPD 直接相关,而性别则通过吸烟状况间接与 COPD 相关。此外,吸烟状况、家庭空气污染和家族史是 COPD 的父节点,而咳嗽、气促或呼吸困难则代表 COPD 的子节点。换句话说,吸烟状况、家庭空气污染和家族史与 COPD 的发生有关,而 COPD 会使患者的咳嗽、气促或呼吸困难加重。总的来说,BNs 可以很好地揭示 COPD 及其相关因素之间的复杂网络联系,更便于针对 COPD 进行有针对性的预防和控制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c15/9085890/5d204b6a1b16/41598_2022_11125_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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