Stawarz Nico, Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge Matthias, Sander Nikola, Sulak Harun, Knobloch Vanessa
Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB) Wiesbaden Germany.
German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) Wiesbaden Germany.
Popul Space Place. 2022 Aug;28(6):e2566. doi: 10.1002/psp.2566. Epub 2022 Mar 29.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected economies, labor markets, health care, education and tourism around the globe in unprecedented ways. However, little research has yet been devoted to the impact that the pandemic might have had on internal migration. This study aims to address this gap by determining how the intensity and spatial patterns of internal migration changed between 2019 and 2020 in Germany. We draw on data from the population register on annual flows between 401 counties. We find that the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a 5% drop in the intensity of inter-county migration in 2020 compared to the previous year, with significant variation across age. The pandemic was also associated with an upsurge in net migration losses for the largest cities, driven by fewer inflows of young adults and continuing outflows of families.
新冠疫情以前所未有的方式影响了全球的经济、劳动力市场、医疗保健、教育和旅游业。然而，针对疫情可能对国内人口迁移产生的影响，目前的研究还很少。本研究旨在通过确定2019年至2020年德国国内人口迁移的强度和空间模式如何变化来填补这一空白。我们利用了人口登记册中401个县之间年度流动的数据。我们发现，与上一年相比，2020年新冠疫情导致县际迁移强度下降了5%，不同年龄段存在显著差异。疫情还导致大城市的净迁移损失激增，原因是年轻人流入减少以及家庭持续外流。
