Department of Sociology, Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences, Athens, Greece.
Stat Med. 2022 Sep 20;41(21):4091-4111. doi: 10.1002/sim.9498. Epub 2022 Jun 18.
The existence of items not susceptible to the event of interest is of both theoretical and practical importance. Although researchers may provide, for example, biological, medical, or sociological evidence for the presence of such items (cured), statistical models performing well under the existence or not of a cured proportion, frequently offer a necessary flexibility. This work introduces a new reparameterization of a flexible family of cure models, which not only includes among its special cases, the most studied cure models (such as the mixture, bounded cumulative hazard, and negative binomial cure model) but also classical survival models (ie, without cured items). One of the main properties of the proposed family, apart from its computationally tractable closed form, is that the case of zero cured proportion is not found at the boundary of the parameter space, as it typically happens to other families. A simulation study examines the (finite) performance of the suggested methodology, focusing to the estimation through EM algorithm and model discrimination, by the aid of the likelihood ratio test and Akaike information criterion; for illustrative purposes, analysis of two real life datasets (on recidivism and cutaneous melanoma) is also carried out.
存在不易受关注事件影响的项目具有理论和实际重要性。尽管研究人员可能提供了例如生物学、医学或社会学方面存在此类项目(已治愈)的证据,但在存在或不存在治愈比例的情况下表现良好的统计模型,通常提供了必要的灵活性。这项工作引入了一种新的可重参数化的灵活治愈模型族,它不仅包括最受研究的治愈模型(如混合、有界累积危害和负二项式治愈模型)作为其特例,还包括经典的生存模型(即,没有已治愈项目)。所提出的模型族的一个主要特性,除了其可计算的封闭形式外,是零治愈比例的情况不在参数空间的边界处,因为这在其他模型族中经常发生。一项模拟研究考察了建议方法的(有限)性能,通过似然比检验和 Akaike 信息准则,重点关注通过 EM 算法和模型判别进行的估计;为了说明问题,还对两个实际数据集(累犯和皮肤黑素瘤)进行了分析。