Brooks Wyatt, Donovan Kevin, Johnson Terence R, Oluoch-Aridi Jackline
Arizona State University, United States of America.
Yale School of Management, United States of America.
J Dev Econ. 2022 Sep;158:102929. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2022.102929. Epub 2022 Jun 28.
We deliver one month's average profit to a randomly selected group of female microenterprise owners in Dandora, Kenya, arriving just in advance of an exponential growth in COVID-19 cases. Relative to a control group, firms recoup about one third of their initial decline in profit, and food expenditures increase. Control profit responds to economic conditions and government announcements during our study period, and treatment effects are largest when control profit is at its lowest. PPE spending and precautionary management practices increase to mitigate the health risks of more intensive firm operation, but only among those who perceive COVID-19 as a major risk.
我们将一个月的平均利润交付给肯尼亚丹多拉随机挑选的一群女性微型企业主,恰好在新冠肺炎病例呈指数级增长之前送达。相对于对照组,企业挽回了约三分之一最初的利润下降,食品支出增加。在我们的研究期间,对照利润对经济状况和政府公告做出反应,且当对照利润处于最低水平时,处理效果最大。个人防护装备支出和预防性管理措施增加,以减轻企业更密集运营带来的健康风险,但这仅发生在那些将新冠肺炎视为重大风险的人群中。