School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510641, China.
Library, Capital Normal University, Beijing, 100048, China.
Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Jun 28;2022:6578274. doi: 10.1155/2022/6578274. eCollection 2022.
With the continuous improvement and development of the socialist market economic system, China's economic development has full momentum, but the domestic market is no longer sufficient to meet the needs of enterprise development. China has always focused on peaceful diplomacy, and the world market has a strong demand for Chinese products. This work aims to improve the accuracy of exchange rate forecasting. The risk factors that may be encountered in the investment process of multinational enterprises can be effectively avoided. Combining the advantages of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), the LSTM-CNN (Long Short-Term Memory-Convolutional Neural Network) model is proposed to predict the volatility trend of stocks. Firstly, the investment risk of multinational enterprises is analyzed, and, secondly, the principles of the used CNN and LSTM are expounded. Finally, the performance of the proposed model is verified by setting experiments. The experimental results demonstrate that when predicting the 10 selected stocks, the proposed LSTM-CNN model has the highest accuracy in predicting the volatility of stocks, with an average accuracy of 60.1%, while the average accuracy of the rest of the models is all below 60%. It can be found that the stock category does not have a great impact on the prediction accuracy of the model. The average prediction accuracy of the CNN model is 0.578, which is lower than that of the Convolutional Neural Network-Relevance model, and the prediction accuracy of the LSTM model is 0.592, which is better than that of the Long Short-Term Memory-Relevance model. The designed model can be used to predict the stock market to guide investors to make effective investments and reduce investment risks based on relevant cases. The research makes a certain contribution to improving the company's income and stabilizing the national economic development.
随着社会主义市场经济体制的不断完善和发展,中国经济发展势头强劲,但国内市场已不再足以满足企业发展的需求。中国一直奉行和平外交政策,世界市场对中国产品的需求强劲。这项工作旨在提高汇率预测的准确性。可以有效避免跨国企业投资过程中可能遇到的风险因素。结合长短时记忆网络(LSTM)和卷积神经网络(CNN)的优势,提出了 LSTM-CNN(长短时记忆-卷积神经网络)模型来预测股票的波动趋势。首先,分析了跨国企业的投资风险,其次阐述了所使用的 CNN 和 LSTM 的原理。最后,通过设置实验验证了所提出模型的性能。实验结果表明,在预测 10 只选定股票时,所提出的 LSTM-CNN 模型在预测股票波动方面具有最高的准确性,平均准确率为 60.1%,而其余模型的平均准确率均低于 60%。可以发现,股票类别对模型的预测准确性没有很大影响。CNN 模型的平均预测准确率为 0.578,低于卷积神经网络相关性模型,LSTM 模型的预测准确率为 0.592,优于长短时记忆相关性模型。所设计的模型可用于预测股票市场,根据相关案例指导投资者进行有效投资并降低投资风险。该研究为提高公司收入和稳定国家经济发展做出了一定贡献。