Stress hyperglycemia ratio, rather than admission blood glucose, predicts in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes in moderate-to severe COVID-19 patients, irrespective of pre-existing glycemic status.

AIM

To compare admission-blood-glucose (ABG) or stress-hyperglycemia-ratio (SHR) performs better in predicting mortality and worse outcomes in COVID-19 patients with (DM) and without known Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (UDM).

METHODS

ABG and SHR were tested for 451 patients with moderate-severe COVID-19 infection [DM = 216,47.9%; pre-diabetes = 48,10.6%, UDM = 187,41.4%],who were followed-up to look for in-hospital-mortality (primary outcome) and secondary outcomes (ICU stay or mechanical ventilation, hospital-acquired-sepsis and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome [MODS]). Those with and without SHR ≥ 1.14 were compared; logistic regression was done to identify predictors of outcomes, with subgroup analysis based on pre-existing DM status and COVID-19 severity.

RESULTS

Those who died (n = 131) or developed ≥ 1 secondary outcomes (n = 218) had higher prevalence of SHR ≥ 1.14, ABG ≥ 180 mg/dl and higher median SHR (p < 0.01). Those with SHR ≥ 1.14 had higher mortality (53.7%), higher incidence of ≥ 1 secondary outcomes (71.3%) irrespective of pre-existing diabetes status. SHR ≥ 1.14, but not ABG ≥ 180 was an independent predictor of mortality in the whole group (OR: 7.81,4.07-14.98), as also the DM (OR:10.51,4.34-25.45) and UDM (5.40 (1.57-18.55) subgroups. SHR ≥ 1.14 [OR: 4.41 (2.49-7.84)] but not ABG ≥ 180 could independently predict secondary outcomes AUROC of SHR in predicting mortality was significantly higher than ABG in all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

SHR better predicts mortality and adverse outcomes than ABG in patients with COVID-19, irrespective of pre-existing chronic glycemic status.