Ouyang Xianheng, Bai Shihao, Strachan Garry Brien, Chen Anliang
School of Forestry and Biotechnology Zhejiang A&F University Hangzhou China.
Shanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai China.
Ecol Evol. 2022 Jul 11;12(7):e9054. doi: 10.1002/ece3.9054. eCollection 2022 Jul.
is an endangered and rare genus of plant that has various pharmacodynamic functions. In this study, optimized MaxEnt models were used in analyzing potential geographical distributions under current and future climatic conditions (the 2050s and 2070s) and dominant environmental variables influencing their geographic distribution. The results provided reference for implementation of long-term conservation and management approaches for the species. The results showed that the area of the total suitable habitat for () in China is 32.51 × 10 km, the total suitable habitat area for () in China is 61.76 × 10 km, and the area of the total suitable habitat for () in China is 89.73 × 10 km under current climatic conditions. The potential suitable habitat of is mainly distributed in Southwest China. The major environmental variables influencing the geographical distribution of were isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and mean temperature of coldest quarter (bio11). Environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19) affected the geographical distribution of ; and environmental variables such as isothermality (bio3), temperature seasonality (bio4), and lower temperature of coldest month (bio6) affected the geographical distribution of . The distribution range of was extended as global warming increased, showing emissions of greenhouse gases with lower concentration (SSP1-2.6) and higher concentration (SSP5-8.5). According to the study, the distribution of suitable habitat will shift with a change to higher elevation areas and higher latitude areas in the future.
是一种濒危且稀有的植物属,具有多种药效功能。在本研究中,优化后的MaxEnt模型用于分析当前和未来气候条件(2050年代和2070年代)下的潜在地理分布以及影响其地理分布的主要环境变量。研究结果为该物种长期保护和管理措施的实施提供了参考。结果表明,在当前气候条件下,中国()的总适宜栖息地面积为32.51×10平方千米,中国()的总适宜栖息地面积为61.76×10平方千米,中国()的总适宜栖息地面积为89.73×10平方千米。(某植物)的潜在适宜栖息地主要分布在中国西南部。影响(某植物)地理分布的主要环境变量是等温性(生物气候变量3)、温度季节性(生物气候变量4)和最冷月平均温度(生物气候变量11)。等温性(生物气候变量3)、温度季节性(生物气候变量4)和最冷月降水量(生物气候变量19)等环境变量影响(另一植物)的地理分布;等温性(生物气候变量3)、温度季节性(生物气候变量4)和最冷月低温(生物气候变量6)等环境变量影响(又一植物)的地理分布。随着全球变暖加剧,(某植物)的分布范围扩大,呈现出较低浓度(SSP1-2.6)和较高浓度(SSP5-8.5)的温室气体排放情景。根据该研究,未来适宜栖息地的分布将随着向更高海拔地区和更高纬度地区的变化而转移。