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中国三孩政策时代年轻人的生育意愿:一项全国大学生调查。

Fertility intentions among young people in the era of China's three-child policy: a national survey of university students.

机构信息

Department of Health Law and Policy, School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China.

Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350122, Fujian Province, China.

出版信息

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2022 Aug 12;22(1):637. doi: 10.1186/s12884-022-04873-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to assess the fertility intentions of young people after the announcement of the three-child policy in China and to determine whether knowledge about reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health (RMNCH) services or support, childbearing- and childbirth-related anxiety, and parenthood-related anxiety influence fertility intentions.

METHODS

A cross-sectional Internet-based survey was conducted on a nationwide sample of young people aged 18 to 28 years old in education institutions. Factors associated with fertility intentions were analysed using partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM).

RESULTS

Only 4.2% of males and 1.7% of females intended to have three children or more. On the whole, the majority (40.3%) reported the intention to have two children. The mean and standard deviation (SD) for the total knowledge RMNCH support and/or services knowledge score was 9.5 (SD ± 8.9), out of a possible score of 39. The median and interquartile range (IQR) of childbearing- and childbirth-related anxiety score was 8.0 (IQR = 6.0-9.0), out of a possible score of 10. The median and IQR of parenthood-related anxiety score among the males was 6.0 (IQR = 4.0-9.0) and for females was 7.0 (IQR = 5.0-9.0). Results from PLS-SEM revealed that a higher level of knowledge of RMNCH support and/or services is significantly associated with higher fertility intentions. Both childbearing- and childbirth-related anxiety and parenthood-related anxiety were inversely associated with fertility intentions.

CONCLUSION

Raising awareness about RMNCH supportive measures and easing birth- and parenting anxiety are imperative to enhance birth rates. Future policies should pay more attention to these determinants to achieve their intended goal of boosting population growth.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在评估中国三孩政策公布后年轻人的生育意愿,并确定生殖、孕产妇、新生儿和儿童健康(RMNCH)服务或支持、生育和分娩相关焦虑以及育儿相关焦虑等因素是否会影响生育意愿。

方法

采用横断面互联网调查,对全国范围内 18-28 岁教育机构中的年轻人进行抽样调查。使用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)分析与生育意愿相关的因素。

结果

仅有 4.2%的男性和 1.7%的女性打算生育三个或更多孩子。总体而言,大多数(40.3%)人表示打算生育两个孩子。RMNCH 支持和/或服务知识总分的平均值(SD)为 9.5(SD±8.9),满分 39 分。生育和分娩相关焦虑得分的中位数(IQR)为 8.0(IQR=6.0-9.0),满分 10 分。男性的育儿相关焦虑得分中位数(IQR)为 6.0(IQR=4.0-9.0),女性为 7.0(IQR=5.0-9.0)。PLS-SEM 的结果表明,更高水平的 RMNCH 支持和/或服务知识与更高的生育意愿显著相关。生育和分娩相关焦虑以及育儿相关焦虑均与生育意愿呈负相关。

结论

提高对 RMNCH 支持措施的认识和缓解生育和育儿焦虑对于提高出生率至关重要。未来的政策应更加关注这些决定因素,以实现其提高人口增长的预期目标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/589d/9373367/c86687478658/12884_2022_4873_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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