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英国皇家学会 RAMP 建模倡议。

The Royal Society RAMP modelling initiative.

机构信息

Institute of Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3FD, UK.

The Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 4AW, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Oct 3;380(2233):20210316. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0316. Epub 2022 Aug 15.

Abstract

Normally, science proceeds following a well-established set of principles. Studies are done with an emphasis on correctness, are submitted to a journal editor who evaluates their relevance, and then undergo anonymous peer review by experts before publication in a journal and acceptance by the scientific community via the open literature. This process is slow, but its accuracy has served all fields of science well. In an emergency situation, different priorities come to the fore. Research and review need to be conducted quickly, and the target audience consists of policymakers. Scientists must jostle for the attention of non-specialists without sacrificing rigour, and must deal not only with peer assessment but also with media scrutiny by journalists who may have agendas other than ensuring scientific correctness. Here, we describe how the Royal Society coordinated efforts of diverse scientists to help model the coronavirus epidemic. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

摘要

通常情况下,科学是按照一套既定的原则进行的。研究工作强调正确性,然后提交给期刊编辑,由他们评估其相关性,接着由专家进行匿名同行评审,之后在期刊上发表,并通过开放获取的文献被科学界接受。这个过程虽然缓慢,但它的准确性很好地适用于各个科学领域。在紧急情况下,优先事项会发生变化。研究和审查需要快速进行,目标受众是政策制定者。科学家必须在不牺牲严谨性的前提下,争取非专业人士的关注,不仅要应对同行评估,还要应对记者的媒体审查,而这些记者的目的可能不仅仅是确保科学的正确性。在这里,我们描述了英国皇家学会如何协调不同科学家的努力,以帮助建立冠状病毒疫情模型。本文是“现实生活中的传染病建模的技术挑战及克服这些挑战的实例”专题的一部分。

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引用本文的文献

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本文引用的文献

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3
Fitting the reproduction number from UK coronavirus case data and why it is close to 1.从英国冠状病毒病例数据推断繁殖数及其接近 1 的原因。
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Compositional modelling of immune response and virus transmission dynamics.免疫反应和病毒传播动力学的组成建模。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Oct 3;380(2233):20210307. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0307. Epub 2022 Aug 15.

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