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流行病学建模的可视化:挑战、解决方案、思考和建议。

Visualization for epidemiological modelling: challenges, solutions, reflections and recommendations.

机构信息

City, University of London, London, UK.

King's College London, London, UK.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Oct 3;380(2233):20210299. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0299. Epub 2022 Aug 15.

DOI:10.1098/rsta.2021.0299
PMID:35965467
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9376715/
Abstract

We report on an ongoing collaboration between epidemiological modellers and visualization researchers by documenting and reflecting upon knowledge constructs-a series of ideas, approaches and methods taken from existing visualization research and practice-deployed and developed to support modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Structured independent commentary on these efforts is synthesized through iterative reflection to develop: evidence of the effectiveness and value of visualization in this context; open problems upon which the research communities may focus; guidance for future activity of this type and recommendations to safeguard the achievements and promote, advance, secure and prepare for future collaborations of this kind. In describing and comparing a series of related projects that were undertaken in unprecedented conditions, our hope is that this unique report, and its rich interactive supplementary materials, will guide the scientific community in embracing visualization in its observation, analysis and modelling of data as well as in disseminating findings. Equally we hope to encourage the visualization community to engage with impactful science in addressing its emerging data challenges. If we are successful, this showcase of activity may stimulate mutually beneficial engagement between communities with complementary expertise to address problems of significance in epidemiology and beyond. See https://ramp-vis.github.io/RAMPVIS-PhilTransA-Supplement/. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.

摘要

我们报告了一个正在进行的流行病学建模者和可视化研究人员之间的合作,通过记录和反思知识结构——一系列从现有的可视化研究和实践中采用和开发的想法、方法和方法——来支持 COVID-19 大流行的建模。通过迭代反思对这些努力进行结构化的独立评论,以开发:在这种情况下可视化的有效性和价值的证据;研究社区可能关注的开放性问题;对未来此类活动的指导以及保护成果和促进、推进、确保和准备此类未来合作的建议。在描述和比较一系列在前所未有的条件下进行的相关项目时,我们希望这份独特的报告及其丰富的交互式补充材料将指导科学界在观察、分析和建模数据以及传播研究结果时采用可视化技术。同样,我们希望鼓励可视化社区参与有影响力的科学研究,以应对其新兴的数据挑战。如果我们成功了,这种活动展示可能会激发具有互补专业知识的社区之间互利的参与,以解决流行病学及其他领域的重要问题。详见 https://ramp-vis.github.io/RAMPVIS-PhilTransA-Supplement/。本文是“现实生活中流行病建模的技术挑战及克服这些挑战的范例”主题特刊的一部分。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/5b7a7b803a03/rsta20210299f04.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/3b56f8e61ace/rsta20210299f01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/69568d17d422/rsta20210299f02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/37e4a17d527b/rsta20210299f03.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/5b7a7b803a03/rsta20210299f04.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/3b56f8e61ace/rsta20210299f01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/69568d17d422/rsta20210299f02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/37e4a17d527b/rsta20210299f03.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2822/9376715/5b7a7b803a03/rsta20210299f04.jpg

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Modelling herd immunity requirements in Queensland: impact of vaccination effectiveness, hesitancy and variants of SARS-CoV-2.
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Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Oct 3;380(2233):20210311. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0311. Epub 2022 Aug 15.
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