Am J Epidemiol. 2023 Jan 6;192(1):41-50. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwac149.
In this study, we examined the impact of hip fractures on trajectories of home care, nursing home residence, and mortality among individuals aged 65 years or more and explored the impacts of living arrangements, cohabitation, frailty, and socioeconomic position on these trajectories. Based on a linkage of nationwide Swedish population registers, our study included 20,573 individuals with first hip fracture in 2014-2015. Care trajectories during the 2 years following the fracture were visualized and compared with those of 2 hip-fracture-free control groups drawn from the general population: age- and sex-matched controls and health-matched controls identified through propensity score matching. Multistate modeling was employed to identify sociodemographic and health-related factors associated with care trajectories among hip fracture patients. We found that hip fracture patients already had worse health than the general population before their fracture. However, when controlling for prefracture health, hip fractures still had a considerable impact on use of elder-care services and mortality. Comparisons with the health-matched controls suggest that hip fractures have an immediate, yet short-term, impact on care trajectories. Long-term care needs are largely attributable to poorer health profiles independent of the fracture itself. This emphasizes the importance of adequate comparison groups when examining the consequences of diseases which are often accompanied by other underlying health problems.
在这项研究中,我们考察了髋部骨折对 65 岁及以上人群的家庭护理、养老院居住和死亡率轨迹的影响,并探讨了居住安排、同居、虚弱和社会经济地位对这些轨迹的影响。基于全国性的瑞典人口登记数据的链接,我们的研究纳入了 2014 年至 2015 年首次髋部骨折的 20573 名患者。通过可视化和比较骨折后 2 年内的护理轨迹,与来自一般人群的 2 个髋部骨折无对照组进行比较:年龄和性别匹配对照组和通过倾向评分匹配确定的健康匹配对照组。多状态模型用于确定与髋部骨折患者护理轨迹相关的社会人口学和健康相关因素。我们发现,髋部骨折患者在骨折前的健康状况已经比一般人群差。然而,在控制骨折前的健康状况后,髋部骨折仍然对使用老年护理服务和死亡率有相当大的影响。与健康匹配对照组的比较表明,髋部骨折对护理轨迹有即时但短期的影响。长期护理需求主要归因于骨折本身以外的较差健康状况。这强调了在检查常伴有其他潜在健康问题的疾病后果时,使用适当的对照组的重要性。