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常见人类冠状病毒的季节性,美国,2014-2021 年。

Seasonality of Common Human Coronaviruses, United States, 2014-2021.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2022 Oct;28(10):1970-1976. doi: 10.3201/eid2810.220396. Epub 2022 Aug 25.

Abstract

The 4 common types of human coronaviruses (HCoVs)-2 alpha (HCoV-NL63 and HCoV-229E) and 2 beta (HCoV-HKU1 and HCoV-OC43)-generally cause mild upper respiratory illness. Seasonal patterns and annual variation in predominant types of HCoVs are known, but parameters of expected seasonality have not been defined. We defined seasonality of HCoVs during July 2014-November 2021 in the United States by using a retrospective method applied to National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System data. In the 6 HCoV seasons before 2020-21, season onsets occurred October 21-November 12, peaks January 6-February 13, and offsets April 18-June 27; most (>93%) HCoV detection was within the defined seasonal onsets and offsets. The 2020-21 HCoV season onset was 11 weeks later than in prior seasons, probably associated with COVID-19 mitigation efforts. Better definitions of HCoV seasonality can be used for clinical preparedness and for determining expected patterns of emerging coronaviruses.

摘要

四种常见的人类冠状病毒(HCoV)——2 型α(HCoV-NL63 和 HCoV-229E)和 2 型β(HCoV-HKU1 和 HCoV-OC43)——通常会引起轻度上呼吸道疾病。已知 HCoV 的季节性模式和年度变化,但尚未确定预期季节性的参数。我们通过使用回顾性方法对美国国家呼吸道和肠道病毒监测系统数据进行分析,定义了 2014 年 7 月至 2021 年 11 月期间 HCoV 的季节性。在 2020-21 年之前的六个 HCoV 季节中,季节开始于 10 月 21 日至 11 月 12 日,高峰期为 1 月 6 日至 2 月 13 日,结束期为 4 月 18 日至 6 月 27 日;大多数(>93%)HCoV 的检测都在定义的季节性开始和结束范围内。2020-21 年 HCoV 季节的开始比前几个季节晚了 11 周,这可能与 COVID-19 的缓解措施有关。更好地定义 HCoV 的季节性可以用于临床准备,并确定新兴冠状病毒的预期模式。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b177/9514339/044c18cca228/22-0396-F1.jpg

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