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里约热内卢市登革热、寨卡和基孔肯雅热热点重叠。

Overlap between dengue, Zika and chikungunya hotspots in the city of Rio de Janeiro.

机构信息

Instituto de Estudos em Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Sep 6;17(9):e0273980. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0273980. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Arboviruses represent a threat to global public health. In the Americas, the dengue fever is endemic. This situation worsens with the introduction of emerging, Zika fever and chikungunya fever, causing epidemics in several countries within the last decade. Hotspot analysis contributes to understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics in the context of co-circulation of these three arboviral diseases, which have the same vector: Aedes aegypti.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the spatial distribution and agreement between the hotspots of the historical series of reported dengue cases from 2000 to 2014 and the Zika, chikungunya and dengue cases hotspots from 2015 to 2019 in the city of Rio de Janeiro.

METHODS

To identify hotspots, Gi* statistics were calculated for the annual incidence rates of reported cases of dengue, Zika, and chikungunya by neighborhood. Kendall's W statistic was used to analyze the agreement between diseases hotspots.

RESULTS

There was no agreement between the hotspots of the dengue fever historical series (2000-2014) and those of the emerging Zika fever and chikungunya fever (2015-2019). However, there was agreement between hotspots of the three arboviral diseases between 2015 and 2019.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study show the existence of persistent hotspots that need to be prioritized in public policies for the prevention and control of these diseases. The techniques used with data from epidemiological surveillance services can help in better understanding of the dynamics of these diseases wherever they circulate in the world.

摘要

背景

虫媒病毒对全球公共卫生构成威胁。在美洲,登革热呈地方性流行。在过去十年中,由于出现了寨卡热和基孔肯雅热,情况进一步恶化,导致多个国家发生了疫情。热点分析有助于了解这三种虫媒病毒(具有相同媒介:埃及伊蚊)在同时传播的情况下的空间和时间动态。

目的

分析 2000 年至 2014 年报告的登革热历史病例系列以及 2015 年至 2019 年里约热内卢寨卡热、基孔肯雅热和登革热病例热点的空间分布和吻合度。

方法

通过邻里计算报告的登革热、寨卡热和基孔肯雅热病例的年发病率的 Gi*统计数据,以确定热点。Kendall 的 W 统计量用于分析疾病热点之间的吻合度。

结果

登革热历史系列(2000-2014 年)的热点与新兴的寨卡热和基孔肯雅热(2015-2019 年)的热点之间没有吻合度。然而,2015 年至 2019 年期间,这三种虫媒病毒的热点之间存在吻合度。

结论

本研究结果表明存在持续的热点,需要在预防和控制这些疾病的公共政策中优先考虑。使用来自流行病学监测服务的数据的技术可以帮助更好地了解这些疾病在世界任何地方传播的动态。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/944c/9447914/35f35f5641f3/pone.0273980.g001.jpg

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