Ismail Leila, Materwala Huned, Al Hammadi Yousef, Firouzi Farshad, Khan Gulfaraz, Azzuhri Saaidal Razalli Bin
Intelligent Distributed Computing and Systems (INDUCE) Laboratory, College of Information Technology, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.
Department of Computer Science and Software Engineering, College of Information Technology, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.
Front Med (Lausanne). 2022 Aug 30;9:871885. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2022.871885. eCollection 2022.
COVID-19 is a contagious disease that has infected over half a billion people worldwide. Due to the rapid spread of the virus, countries are facing challenges to cope with the infection growth. In particular, healthcare organizations face difficulties efficiently provisioning medical staff, equipment, hospital beds, and quarantine centers. Machine and deep learning models have been used to predict infections, but the selection of the model is challenging for a data analyst. This paper proposes an automated Artificial Intelligence-enabled proactive preparedness real-time system that selects a learning model based on the temporal distribution of the evolution of infection. The proposed system integrates a novel methodology in determining the suitable learning model, producing an accurate forecasting algorithm with no human intervention. Numerical experiments and comparative analysis were carried out between our proposed and state-of-the-art approaches. The results show that the proposed system predicts infections with 72.1% less Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and 65.2% lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) on average than state-of-the-art approaches.
新冠病毒病是一种传染性疾病,全球已有超过5亿人感染。由于该病毒的快速传播,各国在应对感染增长方面面临挑战。特别是,医疗保健机构在有效调配医护人员、设备、医院床位和隔离中心方面面临困难。机器学习和深度学习模型已被用于预测感染情况,但对于数据分析师来说,模型的选择具有挑战性。本文提出了一种基于人工智能的自动化主动防范实时系统,该系统根据感染演变的时间分布选择学习模型。所提出的系统集成了一种新颖的方法来确定合适的学习模型,无需人工干预即可生成准确的预测算法。我们将所提出的方法与现有技术方法进行了数值实验和对比分析。结果表明,与现有技术方法相比,所提出的系统预测感染情况时,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)降低了72.1%,均方根误差(RMSE)降低了65.2%。