College of Business Administration, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, UAE.
Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Nisantasi University, Istanbul, Turkey.
Eval Rev. 2023 Jun;47(3):532-562. doi: 10.1177/0193841X221149809. Epub 2023 Jan 11.
Tourism is one of the important factors that can affect the environmental and economic situation of any economy. This study investigates the relationship between tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in the top 20 tourist destinations using data from quarterly observations from 1995 to 2018. A unique technique via quantile-on-quantile regression and Granger causality in quantiles was used. In particular, how the quantiles of tourist arrivals impact quantiles of CO2 emission was analyzed. The empirical results suggest a combination of both positive and negative effects of tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in most tourist destinations. Predominantly, at both high and low tails, in the USA, Spain, Hong Kong, and Austria, tourist arrival has a positive effect on CO2 emission, whereas in the case of Canada, France, Germany, Mexico, and Malaysia, the association was negative. On the other hand, China, Greece, Russia, Japan, Italy, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey have both positive and negative effects of tourism on CO2 emissions at low and high tails. Tourism can be an important factor while formulating policy for environmental and climate aspects.
旅游业是影响任何经济体环境和经济状况的重要因素之一。本研究使用 1995 年至 2018 年季度观测数据，调查了前 20 大旅游目的地的游客人数和 CO2 排放之间的关系。使用了一种通过分位数-分位数回归和分位数格兰杰因果关系的独特技术。特别是，分析了游客人数的分位数如何影响 CO2 排放的分位数。实证结果表明，在大多数旅游目的地，游客人数和 CO2 排放既有积极影响，也有消极影响。在大多数情况下，特别是在美国、西班牙、中国香港和奥地利的高低尾部，游客人数对 CO2 排放有积极影响，而在加拿大、法国、德国、墨西哥和马来西亚的情况下，这种关联是负面的。另一方面，中国、希腊、俄罗斯、日本、意大利、韩国、泰国和土耳其在高低尾部都对 CO2 排放有旅游的积极和消极影响。在制定环境和气候方面的政策时，旅游业可能是一个重要因素。
