Kolawole Mutairu Kayode, Olayiwola Morufu Oyedunsi, Alaje Adedapo Ismaila, Adekunle Hammed Ololade, Odeyemi Kazeem Abidoye
Department of Mathematical Sciences, Osun State University, Osogbo, Nigeria.
Beni Suef Univ J Basic Appl Sci. 2023;12(1):10. doi: 10.1186/s43088-023-00343-2. Epub 2023 Jan 19.
The COVID-19 pandemic has put the world's survival in jeopardy. Although the virus has been contained in certain parts of the world after causing so much grief, the risk of it emerging in the future should not be overlooked because its existence cannot be shown to be completely eradicated.
This study investigates the impact of vaccination, therapeutic actions, and compliance rate of individuals to physical limitations in a newly developed SEIQR mathematical model of COVID-19. A qualitative investigation was conducted on the mathematical model, which included validating its positivity, existence, uniqueness, and boundedness. The disease-free and endemic equilibria were found, and the basic reproduction number was derived and utilized to examine the mathematical model's local and global stability. The mathematical model's sensitivity index was calculated equally, and the homotopy perturbation method was utilized to derive the estimated result of each compartment of the model. Numerical simulation carried out using Maple 18 software reveals that the COVID-19 virus's prevalence might be lowered if the actions proposed in this study are applied.
It is the collective responsibility of all individuals to fight for the survival of the human race against COVID-19. We urged that all persons, including the government, researchers, and health-care personnel, use the findings of this research to remove the presence of the dangerous COVID-19 virus.
新冠疫情使全球的生存面临危机。尽管该病毒在造成巨大灾难后在世界某些地区已得到控制,但未来它再次出现的风险不应被忽视,因为无法证明其已被彻底根除。
本研究在新开发的新冠疫情SEIQR数学模型中,调查了疫苗接种、治疗措施以及个体对身体限制的遵守率的影响。对该数学模型进行了定性研究,包括验证其正性、存在性、唯一性和有界性。找到了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点,并推导了基本再生数,用于检验该数学模型的局部和全局稳定性。同样计算了该数学模型的敏感性指数,并利用同伦摄动法得出模型各部分的估计结果。使用Maple 18软件进行的数值模拟表明,如果应用本研究中提出的措施,新冠病毒的流行率可能会降低。
为人类对抗新冠疫情的生存而战是所有人的共同责任。我们敦促包括政府、研究人员和医护人员在内的所有人利用本研究的结果消除危险的新冠病毒。