Suppr超能文献

一种考虑媒体和社交网络对社区恐惧效应的新冠肺炎分数阶模型。

A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community.

作者信息

Bozkurt Fatma, Yousef Ali, Abdeljawad Thabet, Kalinli Adem, Mdallal Qasem Al

机构信息

Kuwait College of Science and Technology, Department of Mathematics, 27235 Kuwait City, Kuwait.

Department of Mathematics, Erciyes University, 38039 Kayseri, Turkey.

出版信息

Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2021 Nov;152:111403. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111403. Epub 2021 Sep 10.

Abstract

Since December 2019, the world has experienced from a virus, known as Covid-19, that is highly transmittable and is now spread worldwide. Many mathematical models and studies have been implemented to work on the infection and transmission risks. Besides the virus's transmission effect, another discussion appears in the community: the fear effect. People who have never heard about coronavirus, face every day uncertain and different information regarding the effect of the virus and the daily death rates from sources like the media, the medical institutions or organizations. Thus, the fear of the virus in the community can possibly reach the point that people become scared and confused about information polluted from different networks with long-term trend discussions. In this work, we use the Routh-Hurwitz Criteria to analyze the local stability of two essential critical points: the disease-free and the co-existing critical point. Using the discretization process, our analysis have shown that one should distinguish between the spread of "awareness" or "fear" in the community through the media and others to control the virus's transmission. Finally, we conclude our theoretical findings with numerical simulations.

摘要

自2019年12月以来,世界经历了一种名为新冠病毒19的病毒,它具有高度传染性,现已在全球传播。许多数学模型和研究已被用于研究感染和传播风险。除了病毒的传播影响外,社区中还出现了另一个讨论:恐惧效应。那些从未听说过冠状病毒的人,每天都会从媒体、医疗机构或组织等来源面临关于病毒影响和每日死亡率的不确定且不同的信息。因此,社区中对病毒的恐惧可能会达到这样的程度,即人们会对来自不同网络且带有长期趋势讨论的信息污染感到恐惧和困惑。在这项工作中,我们使用劳斯 - 赫尔维茨准则来分析两个重要临界点的局部稳定性:无病临界点和共存临界点。通过离散化过程,我们的分析表明,人们应该区分通过媒体等在社区中“认知”或“恐惧”的传播,以控制病毒的传播。最后,我们用数值模拟得出理论结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a8bd/8429358/aabfe00aa9d0/gr1_lrg.jpg

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验