National Research and Innovation Agency of Indonesia (BRIN), Gedung 90 , Kawasan Puspiptek Serpong, South Tangerang, 15340, Indonesia.
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, Jalan Pegangsaan Timur No. 1a, Jakarta, 10320, Indonesia.
Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 28;13(1):1601. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-28540-0.
The statement of sustainability in the sustainable development goals (SDGs) framework needs to be supplemented by a formal proof that intergenerational well-being also improves. This is the first study that aims to provide empirical evidence that links the progress of the SDGs and the changes in well-being, which are proxied by the SDG Index and the Inclusive Wealth (IW) Index, respectively. We propose an SDGs-wealth model which was analyzed using a machine learning method involving a balanced panel of 147 countries for 2000-2019. We find a strong correlation between wealth and the SDGs, with Goals 12, 13, and 7 being the most significant predictors of wealth. In contrast to Goals 12 and 13, we find a positive correlation between Goal 7 and the per capita IW Index, suggesting that promoting affordable and clean energy is beneficial for wealth accumulation. Quite the opposite, fostering responsible consumption and production and climate actions might be detrimental to wealth. We also find an alarming result for 50 countries in our study since they have deviated from the sustainable development trajectories either in the short or long run. Our study suggests that to achieve sustainable development, instead of focusing on the complex interactions among the SDGs, policymakers should put a stronger focus on improving IW.
可持续发展目标（SDGs）框架中的可持续性声明需要辅以一个正式的证明，即代际福祉也会得到改善。这是第一项旨在提供经验证据的研究，该证据将 SDGs 的进展与幸福感的变化联系起来，幸福感分别由 SDG 指数和综合财富（IW）指数来表示。我们提出了一个 SDGs-wealth 模型，该模型使用机器学习方法进行了分析，涉及 2000-2019 年的 147 个国家的平衡面板。我们发现财富与 SDGs 之间存在很强的相关性，目标 12、13 和 7 是财富的最重要预测指标。与目标 12 和 13 相反，我们发现目标 7 与人均 IW 指数之间存在正相关关系，表明促进负担得起的清洁能源对财富积累有益。相反，促进负责任的消费和生产以及气候行动可能对财富不利。我们还发现，在我们的研究中，有 50 个国家的情况令人担忧，因为它们在短期或长期都偏离了可持续发展轨迹。我们的研究表明，为了实现可持续发展，政策制定者不应专注于 SDGs 之间的复杂相互作用，而应更加注重提高综合财富。
