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政府危机应对的行政特征与时机:对新冠疫情早期反应的全球研究

Administrative characteristics and timing of governments' crisis responses: A global study of early reactions to COVID-19.

作者信息

Jugl Marlene

机构信息

Department of Social and Political Sciences Bocconi University Milan Italy.

出版信息

Public Adm. 2022 Nov 1. doi: 10.1111/padm.12889.

Abstract

In a crisis, fast reaction is key. But what can public administration tell us about this? This study develops a theoretical framework explaining how administrative characteristics, including fragmentation, capacities, legacies and learning, affect governments' response timing. The COVID-19 pandemic is exploited as a unique empirical setting to test this framework and its scope conditions. Region fixed-effects models and survival analysis of partly hand collected data for more than 150 national governments confirm some limited predictive power of administrative structures and traditions: Especially in developing countries, governments with a separate ministry of health adopted binding containment measures faster. Countries with hierarchical administrative traditions, for example, socialist, adopted some interventions like school closures faster than more liberal traditions, for example, Anglo-American. These characteristics increase threat perception and availability of a response, respectively. Results also suggest that intracrisis and intercrisis learning supply governments with response options. The study advances comparative public administration and crisis research.

摘要

在危机中,快速反应是关键。但公共行政能就此告诉我们什么呢?本研究构建了一个理论框架,解释包括碎片化、能力、遗留问题和学习等行政特征如何影响政府的反应时机。新冠疫情被用作一个独特的实证场景来检验这一框架及其范围条件。区域固定效应模型以及对150多个国家政府部分手工收集数据的生存分析证实了行政结构和传统具有一定的有限预测力:特别是在发展中国家,设有独立卫生部的政府更快地采取了具有约束力的遏制措施。具有层级行政传统的国家,比如社会主义国家,比更自由的传统国家,比如英美国,更快地采取了一些干预措施,如关闭学校。这些特征分别提高了威胁认知和应对措施的可用性。结果还表明,危机期间和危机后的学习为政府提供了应对选项。该研究推动了比较公共行政和危机研究的发展。

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