Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Barcelona, Spain.
Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States of America.
Bull World Health Organ. 2023 Feb 1;101(2):130-139. doi: 10.2471/BLT.22.288938. Epub 2022 Dec 8.
To quantify the number of avoidable annual deaths and associated economic benefits from meeting the World Health Organization (WHO) air quality guidelines for ambient concentrations for fine particulate matter (PM) for Member States of the WHO Western Pacific Region.
Using the AirQ+ software, we performed a quantitative health impact assessment comparing country-level PM concentrations with the 2005 and 2021 air quality guidelines recommended maximum concentrations of 10 and 5 μg/m, respectively. We obtained PM data from the WHO Global Health Observatory (latest available year 2016), and population and mortality estimates from the United Nations World Population Prospects database for the latest 5-year period available (2015-2019), which we averaged to 1-year estimates. A risk estimate for all-cause mortality, based on a meta-analysis, was embedded within AirQ+ software. Our economic assessment used World Bank value of a statistical life adjusted to country-specific gross domestic product (latest available year 2014).
Data were complete for 21 of 27 Member States. If these countries achieved the 2021 guidelines for PM, an estimated 3.1 million deaths would be avoided annually, which are 0.4 million more deaths avoided than meeting the 2005 guidelines. China would avoid the most deaths per 100 000 population (303 deaths) and Brunei Darussalam the least (5 deaths). The annual economic benefit per capita ranged from 5781 United States dollars (US$) in Singapore to US$ 143 in Solomon Islands.
Implementing effective measures to reduce PM emissions would save a substantial number of lives and money across the Region.
量化成员国避免因每年可归因于细颗粒物(PM)而死亡的人数以及由此产生的经济效益,以达到世界卫生组织(WHO)西太平洋区域环境空气中细颗粒物浓度空气质量准则的要求。
我们使用 AirQ+ 软件进行定量健康影响评估,将国家层面的 PM 浓度与分别推荐的 2005 年和 2021 年空气质量准则的最大浓度 10μg/m3 和 5μg/m3进行比较。我们从世卫组织全球卫生观测站(最新数据为 2016 年)获取 PM 数据,并从联合国世界人口展望数据库获取最新的 5 年期间(2015-2019 年)的人口和死亡率估计值,我们将其平均为 1 年的估计值。AirQ+ 软件中嵌入了基于荟萃分析的全因死亡率风险估计值。我们的经济评估使用世界银行调整到特定国家国内生产总值的生命价值(最新数据为 2014 年)。
27 个成员国中有 21 个国家的数据完整。如果这些国家达到 2021 年的 PM 准则,预计每年将避免 310 万人死亡,比达到 2005 年准则多避免 40 万人死亡。中国每 10 万人死亡人数(303 人)最多,文莱达鲁萨兰国(5 人)最少。人均年经济收益范围从新加坡的 5781 美元(USD)到所罗门群岛的 143 美元。
在该区域实施有效措施减少 PM 排放将挽救大量生命并节省大量资金。