Ondokuz Mayis University, Faculty of Architecture, Department of City and Regional Planning, Samsun, Türkiye.
Kastamonu University, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Department of Environmental Engineering, Kuzeykent Campus, 37150, Kastamonu, Türkiye.
J Therm Biol. 2023 Feb;112:103434. doi: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2022.103434. Epub 2022 Dec 18.
It is inevitable that the global climate change, which has important effects on the climate throughout the world, would have significant effects on the biocomfort zones. Hence, how global climate change will change the biocomfort zones should be determined and the data to be obtained should be used in urban planning projects. In the current study, SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 scenarios were taken as a basis, and the potential effects of global climate change on the biocomfort zones in Muğla province, Türkiye were investigated. Within the scope of the present study, the current status of biocomfort zones in Muğla and their possible conditions in years 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100 were compared using DI and ETv methods. At the end of the study, it was estimated that, according DI method, 14.13% of Muğla province are in cold zone, 31.96% in cool zone, and 53.71% in comfortable zone. According to the SSPs 585 scenario, together with the increase in temperature, the cold and cool zones will totally disappear in year 2100, comfortable zones will decrease to 31.22%, and approx. 68.78% of the province will be in hot zone. According to the calculations made using ETv method, Muğla province currently consists of moderately cold zones by 2%, quite cold zones by 13.16%, slightly cold zones by 57.06%, and mild zones by 27.79%. Based on the SSPs 585 scenario for the year 2100, it is projected that Muğla will consist of slightly cool zones by 1.41%, mild zones by 14.42%, and comfortable zones by 68.06%, besides warm zones by 16.11% which are not present at this moment. This finding suggests that especially the cooling costs will increase and the air-conditioning systems to be used will negatively affect the global climate change through the energy consumption and the gases used.
气候变化不可避免，它对全球气候有重要影响，也会对生物舒适区产生重大影响。因此，应该确定全球气候变化将如何改变生物舒适区，并在城市规划项目中使用获得的数据。在本研究中，以 SSPs 245 和 SSPs 585 情景为基础，研究了全球气候变化对土耳其穆拉省生物舒适区的潜在影响。在本研究范围内，使用 DI 和 ETv 方法比较了穆拉目前的生物舒适区状况及其在 2040 年、2060 年、2080 年和 2100 年的可能条件。研究结束时，据 DI 方法估计，穆拉省 14.13%为寒冷区，31.96%为凉爽区，53.71%为舒适区。根据 SSPs 585 情景，随着温度的升高，2100 年寒冷和凉爽区将完全消失，舒适区将减少到 31.22%，全省约 68.78%将处于炎热区。根据 ETv 方法的计算，穆拉省目前有 2%的地区属于微冷区，13.16%的地区属于较冷区，57.06%的地区属于微冷区，27.79%的地区属于温和区。根据 SSPs 585 情景，到 2100 年，预计穆拉省将有 1.41%的地区属于微凉爽区，14.42%的地区属于温和区，68.06%的地区属于舒适区，除了目前不存在的 16.11%的温暖区。这一发现表明，特别是冷却成本将会增加，所使用的空调系统将通过能源消耗和使用的气体对全球气候变化产生负面影响。
