De Bastiani Michele, Larini Valentina, Montecucco Riccardo, Grancini Giulia
1Department of Chemistry & INSTM Università di Pavia, Via T. Taramelli 14 Pavia 27100 Italy
Energy Environ Sci. 2022 Dec 22;16(2):421-429. doi: 10.1039/d2ee03136a. eCollection 2023 Feb 16.
The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is a techno-economic analysis that evaluates the cost potential of any electricity-producing technology. LCOE represents a powerful metric to compare the most efficient renewable resources in the framework of the energy transition. Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) are an emerging technology with great potential to establish a leading position in the photovoltaic (PV) market, particularly in those regions that cannot rely on crystalline silicon manufacturing. However, like many emerging technologies, their positioning in the PV market is still quite speculative. Here, we revise the different models to evaluate the LCOE of PSCs, paying attention to the impact of performance, stability, and manufacturing costs. We consider the difference in performances from lab-record devices to modules fabricated in industrial production lines. We identify the key role of the degradation that is hindering the commercialization of PSCs and we analyze the manufacturing cost and the supply chain availability. From our analysis, we restricted the LCOE to 3-6 cents (USD) per kWh, which is competitive with the best of the mainstream silicon technologies (passivated emitter and rear contact, PERC). In conclusion, we highlight the future challenges to refine the LCOE calculations, including temperature effects.
平准化度电成本(LCOE)是一种技术经济分析方法,用于评估任何发电技术的成本潜力。LCOE是在能源转型框架内比较最有效可再生资源的一个有力指标。钙钛矿太阳能电池(PSC)是一项新兴技术,极有可能在光伏(PV)市场占据领先地位,尤其是在那些无法依赖晶体硅制造的地区。然而,与许多新兴技术一样,它们在光伏市场中的定位仍颇具投机性。在此,我们修订了评估PSC的LCOE的不同模型,关注性能、稳定性和制造成本的影响。我们考虑了从实验室记录设备到在工业生产线上制造的组件的性能差异。我们确定了阻碍PSC商业化的退化的关键作用,并分析了制造成本和供应链可用性。通过我们的分析,我们将LCOE限制在每千瓦时3 - 6美分(美元),这与主流硅技术中最好的技术(钝化发射极和背接触,PERC)具有竞争力。总之,我们强调了完善LCOE计算未来面临的挑战,包括温度效应。