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贝叶斯透镜与贝叶斯眼罩。

The Bayesian lens and Bayesian blinkers.

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Department of Human Genetics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.

出版信息

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2023 May 15;381(2247):20220144. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0144. Epub 2023 Mar 27.

Abstract

I discuss the benefits of looking through the 'Bayesian lens' (seeking a Bayesian interpretation of ostensibly non-Bayesian methods), and the dangers of wearing 'Bayesian blinkers' (eschewing non-Bayesian methods as a matter of philosophical principle). I hope that the ideas may be useful to scientists trying to understand widely used statistical methods (including confidence intervals and [Formula: see text]-values), as well as teachers of statistics and practitioners who wish to avoid the mistake of overemphasizing philosophy at the expense of practical matters. This article is part of the theme issue 'Bayesian inference: challenges, perspectives, and prospects'.

摘要

我讨论了透过“贝叶斯透镜”(寻找对表面上非贝叶斯方法的贝叶斯解释)的好处,以及戴“贝叶斯眼罩”(从哲学原则上摒弃非贝叶斯方法)的危险。我希望这些想法对试图理解广泛使用的统计方法(包括置信区间和 P 值)的科学家,以及希望避免因过分强调哲学而忽视实际问题的统计学教师和从业者有用。本文是“贝叶斯推断:挑战、视角和前景”主题特刊的一部分。

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