Rose G, Hamilton P J
J Epidemiol Community Health (1978). 1978 Dec;32(4):275-81. doi: 10.1136/jech.32.4.275.
A randomised controlled trial of smoking cessation is reported in 1445 male smokers aged 40-59 at high risk of cardiorespiratory disease. The 714 men in the intervention group were recalled for a series of personal interviews with a doctor. After one year, 51% of the intervention group reported that they were not smoking any cigarettes, and most of the others reported a reduction. Compared with the "normal care" group, the men in the intervention group showed a decline in the prevalence of sputum production and dyspnoea; ventilatory function did not improve but its rate of decline was significantly slowed. There were no evident effects on blood pressure levels, nor on electrocardiographic findings over three years, nor on sickness absence over one year. Mortality follow-up has continued for an average of 7.9 years; 98 (13.7%) of the intervention group have died, compared with 94 (12.9%) of the "normal care" group. The 95% confidence limits on mortality range from 2.63% in favour of intervention to 4.37% in favour of normal care. The power of the trial has been reduced by smoking cessation in the "normal care" group. It is concluded that smoking cessation in these middle-aged men improved the symptoms and progress of chronic bronchitis; but the reversibility of the risk of cigarettes to the smoker's life may have been overestimated in observational studies.
一项针对1445名年龄在40至59岁、患有心肺疾病高风险的男性吸烟者的戒烟随机对照试验被报道。干预组的714名男性被召回与医生进行一系列个人访谈。一年后,51%的干预组报告称他们不再吸烟,其他大多数人报告吸烟量减少。与“常规护理”组相比,干预组男性咳痰和呼吸困难的患病率有所下降;通气功能没有改善,但下降速度明显放缓。对血压水平、三年内心电图结果以及一年的病假情况均无明显影响。死亡率随访平均持续了7.9年;干预组中有98人(13.7%)死亡,“常规护理”组中有94人(12.9%)死亡。死亡率的95%置信区间从有利于干预组的2.63%到有利于常规护理组的4.37%。“常规护理”组中的戒烟行为降低了试验的效力。得出的结论是,这些中年男性戒烟改善了慢性支气管炎的症状和病情进展;但在观察性研究中,吸烟对吸烟者生命风险的可逆性可能被高估了。