Department of Civil Engineering, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike, P. M. B. 7267, Umuahia, 440109, Abia State, Nigeria.
Department of Civil Engineering, Kampala International University, Kampala, Uganda.
Sci Rep. 2023 May 21;13(1):8199. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-35445-5.
Construction scheduling is a complex process that involves a large number of variables, making it difficult to develop accurate and efficient schedules. Traditional scheduling techniques rely on manual analysis and intuition, which are prone to errors and often fail to account for all the variables involved. This results in project delays, cost overruns, and poor project performance. Artificial intelligence models have shown promise in improving construction scheduling accuracy by incorporating historical data, site-specific conditions, and other variables that traditional scheduling methods may not consider. In this research study, application of soft-computing techniques to evaluate construction schedule and control of project activities in order to achieve optimal performance in execution of building projects were carried out. Artificial neural network and neuro-fuzzy models were developed using data extracted from a residential two-storey reinforced concrete framed-structure construction schedule and project execution documents. The evaluation of project performance indicators in earned value analysis from 0 to 100% progress at 5% increment with a total of seventeen tasks were carried out using Microsoft Project software and data obtained from the computation were utilized for model development. Using input-output and curve-fitting (nftool) function in MATLAB, a 6-10-1 two-layer feed-forward network with tansig activation-function (AF) for the hidden neurons and linear AF output neurons was generated with Levenberg-Marquardt (Trainlm) training algorithm. Similarly, with the aid of ANFIS toolbox in MATLAB software, the training, testing and validation of the ANFIS model were carried out using hybrid optimization learning algorithm at 100 epochs and the Gaussian-membership-function (gaussmf). Loss-function parameters namely MAE, RMSE and R-values were taken as the performance evaluation criteria of the developed models. The generated statistical results indicates no significant difference between model-results and experimental values with MAE, RMSE, R of 1.9815, 2.256 and 99.9% respectively for ANFIS-model and MAE, RMSE, R of 2.146, 2.4095 and 99.998% respectively for the ANN-model. The model performance indicated that the ANFIS-model outclassed the ANN-model with their results satisfactory to deal with complex relationships between the model variables to produce accurate target response. The findings from this research study will improve the accuracy of construction scheduling, resulting in improved project performance and reduced costs.
施工进度计划编制是一个复杂的过程,涉及大量的变量,使得制定准确和高效的进度计划变得困难。传统的进度计划编制技术依赖于人工分析和直觉,容易出错,而且往往无法考虑到所有涉及的变量。这导致项目延误、成本超支和项目绩效不佳。人工智能模型通过结合历史数据、现场特定条件和传统进度计划编制方法可能不考虑的其他变量,在提高施工进度计划编制的准确性方面显示出了前景。在本研究中,应用软计算技术来评估施工进度,并控制项目活动,以在执行建筑项目时实现最佳绩效。使用从住宅两层钢筋混凝土框架结构施工进度计划和项目执行文件中提取的数据,开发了人工神经网络和神经模糊模型。使用 Microsoft Project 软件对挣值分析中的项目绩效指标进行评估,从 0 到 100%进度,每 5%递增,共十七项任务。从计算中获得的数据用于模型开发。使用 MATLAB 中的输入-输出和曲线拟合 (nftool) 函数,生成了一个具有 tansig 激活函数 (AF) 的 6-10-1 两层前馈网络,用于隐藏神经元和线性 AF 输出神经元,使用 Levenberg-Marquardt (Trainlm) 训练算法。同样,借助 MATLAB 软件中的 ANFIS 工具箱,使用混合优化学习算法在 100 个时期和高斯隶属函数 (gaussmf) 对 ANFIS 模型进行了训练、测试和验证。损失函数参数,即 MAE、RMSE 和 R 值,被用作开发模型的性能评估标准。生成的统计结果表明,模型结果与实验值之间没有显著差异,ANFIS 模型的 MAE、RMSE 和 R 分别为 1.9815、2.256 和 99.9%,ANN 模型的 MAE、RMSE 和 R 分别为 2.146、2.4095 和 99.998%。模型性能表明,ANFIS 模型优于 ANN 模型,其结果令人满意,能够处理模型变量之间的复杂关系,产生准确的目标响应。这项研究的结果将提高施工进度计划的准确性,从而提高项目绩效和降低成本。