Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Endocrinology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Lancet Infect Dis. 2023 Oct;23(10):1119-1129. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00299-2. Epub 2023 Jun 8.
BACKGROUND: Post-COVID-19 condition (also known as long COVID) is an emerging chronic illness potentially affecting millions of people. We aimed to evaluate whether outpatient COVID-19 treatment with metformin, ivermectin, or fluvoxamine soon after SARS-CoV-2 infection could reduce the risk of long COVID. METHODS: We conducted a decentralised, randomised, quadruple-blind, parallel-group, phase 3 trial (COVID-OUT) at six sites in the USA. We included adults aged 30-85 years with overweight or obesity who had COVID-19 symptoms for fewer than 7 days and a documented SARS-CoV-2 positive PCR or antigen test within 3 days before enrolment. Participants were randomly assigned via 2 × 3 parallel factorial randomisation (1:1:1:1:1:1) to receive metformin plus ivermectin, metformin plus fluvoxamine, metformin plus placebo, ivermectin plus placebo, fluvoxamine plus placebo, or placebo plus placebo. Participants, investigators, care providers, and outcomes assessors were masked to study group assignment. The primary outcome was severe COVID-19 by day 14, and those data have been published previously. Because the trial was delivered remotely nationwide, the a priori primary sample was a modified intention-to-treat sample, meaning that participants who did not receive any dose of study treatment were excluded. Long COVID diagnosis by a medical provider was a prespecified, long-term secondary outcome. This trial is complete and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04510194. FINDINGS: Between Dec 30, 2020, and Jan 28, 2022, 6602 people were assessed for eligibility and 1431 were enrolled and randomly assigned. Of 1323 participants who received a dose of study treatment and were included in the modified intention-to-treat population, 1126 consented for long-term follow-up and completed at least one survey after the assessment for long COVID at day 180 (564 received metformin and 562 received matched placebo; a subset of participants in the metformin vs placebo trial were also randomly assigned to receive ivermectin or fluvoxamine). 1074 (95%) of 1126 participants completed at least 9 months of follow-up. 632 (56·1%) of 1126 participants were female and 494 (43·9%) were male; 44 (7·0%) of 632 women were pregnant. The median age was 45 years (IQR 37-54) and median BMI was 29·8 kg/m (IQR 27·0-34·2). Overall, 93 (8·3%) of 1126 participants reported receipt of a long COVID diagnosis by day 300. The cumulative incidence of long COVID by day 300 was 6·3% (95% CI 4·2-8·2) in participants who received metformin and 10·4% (7·8-12·9) in those who received identical metformin placebo (hazard ratio [HR] 0·59, 95% CI 0·39-0·89; p=0·012). The metformin beneficial effect was consistent across prespecified subgroups. When metformin was started within 3 days of symptom onset, the HR was 0·37 (95% CI 0·15-0·95). There was no effect on cumulative incidence of long COVID with ivermectin (HR 0·99, 95% CI 0·59-1·64) or fluvoxamine (1·36, 0·78-2·34) compared with placebo. INTERPRETATION: Outpatient treatment with metformin reduced long COVID incidence by about 41%, with an absolute reduction of 4·1%, compared with placebo. Metformin has clinical benefits when used as outpatient treatment for COVID-19 and is globally available, low-cost, and safe. FUNDING: Parsemus Foundation; Rainwater Charitable Foundation; Fast Grants; UnitedHealth Group Foundation; National Institute of Diabetes, Digestive and Kidney Diseases; National Institutes of Health; and National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences.
背景:新冠后状况(也称为长新冠)是一种新出现的慢性疾病,可能影响数以百万计的人。我们旨在评估在 SARS-CoV-2 感染后不久,使用二甲双胍、伊维菌素或氟伏沙明对门诊新冠患者进行治疗,是否能降低长新冠的风险。
方法:我们在美国的六个地点开展了一项去中心化、随机、双盲、平行组、3 期试验(COVID-OUT)。纳入的参与者为年龄在 30-85 岁之间、超重或肥胖、新冠症状少于 7 天且在入组前 3 天内有记录的 SARS-CoV-2 阳性 PCR 或抗原检测结果的成年人。参与者通过 2×3 平行析因随机分组(1:1:1:1:1:1),分别接受二甲双胍加伊维菌素、二甲双胍加氟伏沙明、二甲双胍加安慰剂、伊维菌素加安慰剂、氟伏沙明加安慰剂或安慰剂加安慰剂治疗。参与者、研究者、护理提供者和结局评估者对研究组分配情况均设盲。主要结局为第 14 天的严重新冠,相关数据此前已发表。由于该试验是在全国范围内远程开展的,因此,预先设定的主要样本是修改后的意向治疗样本,这意味着未接受任何剂量研究治疗的参与者被排除在外。医疗提供者诊断的长新冠是一个预先设定的长期次要结局。该试验已完成,在 ClinicalTrials.gov 注册,编号为 NCT04510194。
发现:在 2020 年 12 月 30 日至 2022 年 1 月 28 日期间,评估了 6602 名符合条件的患者,有 1431 名被纳入并随机分组。在接受了剂量研究治疗且纳入修改后的意向治疗人群的 1323 名参与者中,有 1126 名同意进行长期随访,并在第 180 天(564 名接受二甲双胍和 562 名接受匹配安慰剂;二甲双胍与安慰剂试验的一部分参与者还被随机分配接受伊维菌素或氟伏沙明)接受长新冠评估后至少完成了一次调查。1126 名参与者中,有 1074 名(95%)完成了至少 9 个月的随访。1126 名参与者中,632 名(56.1%)为女性,494 名(43.9%)为男性;44 名(7.0%)女性怀孕。中位年龄为 45 岁(IQR 37-54),中位 BMI 为 29.8kg/m(IQR 27.0-34.2)。总体而言,1126 名参与者中,有 93 名(8.3%)在第 300 天报告了长新冠的诊断。第 300 天的长新冠累积发生率在接受二甲双胍治疗的参与者中为 6.3%(95%CI 4.2-8.2),在接受相同二甲双胍安慰剂治疗的参与者中为 10.4%(7.8-12.9)(HR 0.59,95%CI 0.39-0.89;p=0.012)。二甲双胍的有益效果在所有预先设定的亚组中一致。当二甲双胍在症状出现后 3 天内开始使用时,HR 为 0.37(95%CI 0.15-0.95)。与安慰剂相比,伊维菌素(HR 0.99,95%CI 0.59-1.64)或氟伏沙明(1.36,0.78-2.34)对长新冠的累积发生率没有影响。
解释:门诊使用二甲双胍治疗可降低长新冠的发生率约 41%,与安慰剂相比,绝对风险降低了 4.1%。二甲双胍在治疗新冠时具有临床获益,并且在全球范围内可获得、成本低、安全性高。
资助:Parsemus 基金会;Rainwater 慈善基金会;快速拨款;联合健康集团基金会;美国国立糖尿病、消化和肾脏疾病研究所;美国国立卫生研究院;以及美国国立转化医学科学中心。
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-6-21
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-5-20
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-9-20
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2018-7-24
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2023-11-30
Health Technol Assess. 2025-7
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2005-7-20
JAMA Netw Open. 2025-8-1
JAMA Intern Med. 2025-7-14
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025-7-15
Cell Stem Cell. 2024-2-1
Virus Res. 2023-1-2
JAMA Health Forum. 2022-5-6
N Engl J Med. 2022-9-15
Cell Death Differ. 2022-10
N Engl J Med. 2022-8-18
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM. 2022-11
Lancet Respir Med. 2022-9