Dai Wei, Cheng Mengyao, Zheng Linhao
School of Economics and Trade, Fujian Jiangxia University, Fuzhou, 350108, China.
School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, 100872, China.
Heliyon. 2023 May 19;9(5):e16406. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16406. eCollection 2023 May.
Promoting industrial structure optimization and improvement on the basis of environment regulation based on "China's carbon peak and carbon neutralization" turns out to be a requirement that cannot be avoided for achieving China's economic growth with high quality. In this study, a dynamic game model for enterprises and governments in local areas with two phases, covering a polluting production sector and a clean production sector, is built for analyzing the influence mechanism of environment regulation of local governments on industrial structure optimization. Panel data of 286 cities on the prefecture level and above from 2003 to 2018 served as samples. The direct and dynamic impacts of environment regulation on industrial structure optimization are empirically tested, and the threshold model is adopted to test whether industrial structures and resource endowment will affect the effect of environment regulation on industrial structure optimization. Lastly, the effect exerted by environment regulation on industrial structure optimization is tested by region. The empirical results show that there is a nonlinear correlation of environment regulation and industrial structure optimization. Once the environment regulation intensity reaches a certain inflection point, it will hinder industrial structure optimization. When regional resource endowment and the secondary industry's ratio are used as threshold variables, environment regulation has a threshold effect on industrial structure optimization. The effect exerted by environment regulation on industrial structure optimization has regional heterogeneity.
基于“中国碳达峰、碳中和”进行环境规制,并在此基础上推动产业结构优化升级,是实现中国经济高质量增长无法回避的要求。本研究构建了一个两阶段的地方企业与政府动态博弈模型,涵盖污染生产部门和清洁生产部门,以分析地方政府环境规制对产业结构优化的影响机制。选取2003年至2018年286个地级及以上城市的面板数据作为样本。对环境规制对产业结构优化的直接和动态影响进行实证检验,并采用门槛模型检验产业结构和资源禀赋是否会影响环境规制对产业结构优化的效果。最后,按区域检验环境规制对产业结构优化的作用效果。实证结果表明,环境规制与产业结构优化存在非线性关联。一旦环境规制强度达到某个拐点,就会阻碍产业结构优化。当将区域资源禀赋和第二产业比重作为门槛变量时,环境规制对产业结构优化具有门槛效应。环境规制对产业结构优化的作用效果存在区域异质性。