Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Southern Medical University, 1838 Guangzhou North Road, Guangzhou, 510515, China.
Key Laboratory of Occupational Environment and Health, Guangzhou Twelfth People's Hospital, Guangzhou, China.
BMC Cancer. 2023 Jun 28;23(1):598. doi: 10.1186/s12885-023-11038-3.
Over past decades, epidemiological patterns of liver cancer (LC) have changed dramatically. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study provides an opportunity for tracking the progress in cancer control with its annual updated reports at national, regional and global level, which can facilitate the health decision-making and the allocation of health resources. Therefore, we aim to estimate the global, regional and national trends of death caused by liver cancer due to specific etiologies and attributable risks from 1990 to 2019.
Data was collected from the GBD study 2019. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were used to quantify the trends of age-standardized death rate (ASDR). We applied a linear regression for the calculation of estimated annual percentage change in ASDR.
From 1990 to 2019, the ASDR of liver cancer decreased globally (EAPC = - 2.23, 95% confidence interval [CI]: - 2.61 to - 1.84). Meanwhile, declining trends were observed in both sexes, socio-demographic index (SDI) areas, and geographies, particularly East Asia (EAPC = - 4.98, 95% CI: - 5.73 to - 4.22). The ASDR for each of the four major etiologies fell globally, while liver cancer caused by hepatitis B had the largest drop (EPAC = - 3.46, 95% CI: - 4.01 to - 2.89). China has had dramatic decreases in death rates on a national scale, particularly when it comes to the hepatitis B etiology (EAPC = - 5.17, 95% CI: - 5.96 to - 4.37). However, certain nations, such as Armenia and Uzbekistan, saw a rise in liver cancer mortality. Controlling smoking, alcohol, and drug use contributed to a drop in LC-related mortality in the majority of socio-demographic index areas. Nevertheless, the excessive body mass index (BMI) was portrayed as the underlying cause for LC fatalities.
From 1990 to 2019, there was a worldwide decrease in deaths caused by liver cancer and its underlying causes. However, rising tendencies have been observed in low-resource regions and countries. The trends in drug use- and high BMI-related death from liver cancer and its underlying etiologies were concerning. The findings indicated that efforts should be increased to prevent liver cancer deaths through improved etiology control and risk management.
过去几十年来,肝癌(LC)的流行病学模式发生了巨大变化。全球疾病负担(GBD)研究通过其在国家、地区和全球层面的年度更新报告,为跟踪癌症控制进展提供了机会,这有助于做出健康决策和分配卫生资源。因此,我们旨在估计 1990 年至 2019 年因特定病因和归因风险导致的全球、区域和国家肝癌死亡趋势。
数据来自 GBD 研究 2019 年的数据。年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)的年度变化百分比(EAPC)用于量化趋势。我们应用线性回归计算 ASDR 的估计年度百分比变化。
1990 年至 2019 年,全球肝癌的 ASDR 下降(EAPC=-2.23,95%置信区间[CI]:-2.61 至-1.84)。同时,在所有性别、社会人口指数(SDI)地区和地理区域都观察到下降趋势,特别是东亚(EAPC=-4.98,95%CI:-5.73 至-4.22)。全球四大主要病因导致的 ASDR 均下降,而乙型肝炎引起的肝癌下降幅度最大(EAPC=-3.46,95%CI:-4.01 至-2.89)。中国在全国范围内的死亡率显著下降,特别是乙型肝炎病因(EAPC=-5.17,95%CI:-5.96 至-4.37)。然而,亚美尼亚和乌兹别克斯坦等一些国家的肝癌死亡率上升。控制吸烟、饮酒和药物使用有助于降低大多数社会人口指数地区与 LC 相关的死亡率。然而,过高的体重指数(BMI)被认为是导致 LC 死亡的原因。
1990 年至 2019 年,全球因肝癌及其潜在病因导致的死亡人数有所下降。然而,在资源匮乏的地区和国家,这一趋势呈上升趋势。与药物使用和 BMI 相关的肝癌及其潜在病因导致的死亡趋势令人担忧。研究结果表明,应通过改善病因控制和风险管理来加强努力,防止肝癌死亡。