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多指标多原因模型中的贝叶斯正则化。

Bayesian regularization in multiple-indicators multiple-causes models.

机构信息

Graduate School of Education, Stanford University.

Department of Counseling, Leadership, and Research Methods, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2024 Aug;29(4):679-703. doi: 10.1037/met0000594. Epub 2023 Jul 27.

DOI:10.1037/met0000594
PMID:37498692
Abstract

Integrating regularization methods into structural equation modeling is gaining increasing popularity. The purpose of regularization is to improve variable selection, model estimation, and prediction accuracy. In this study, we aim to: (a) compare Bayesian regularization methods for exploring covariate effects in multiple-indicators multiple-causes models, (b) examine the sensitivity of results to hyperparameter settings of penalty priors, and (c) investigate prediction accuracy through cross-validation. The Bayesian regularization methods examined included: ridge, lasso, adaptive lasso, spike-and-slab prior (SSP) and its variants, and horseshoe and its variants. Sparse solutions were developed for the structural coefficient matrix that contained only a small portion of nonzero path coefficients characterizing the effects of selected covariates on the latent variable. Results from the simulation study showed that compared to diffuse priors, penalty priors were advantageous in handling small sample sizes and collinearity among covariates. Priors with only the global penalty (ridge and lasso) yielded higher model convergence rates and power, whereas priors with both the global and local penalties (horseshoe and SSP) provided more accurate parameter estimates for medium and large covariate effects. The horseshoe and SSP improved accuracy in predicting factor scores, while achieving more parsimonious models. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

将正则化方法整合到结构方程模型中正变得越来越流行。正则化的目的是提高变量选择、模型估计和预测精度。在这项研究中,我们旨在:(a)比较贝叶斯正则化方法在多指标多原因模型中探索协变量效应,(b)检查惩罚先验超参数设置对结果的敏感性,(c)通过交叉验证研究预测精度。检查的贝叶斯正则化方法包括:岭回归、套索回归、自适应套索回归、尖峰和板条先验(SSP)及其变体,以及马镫和其变体。为包含仅描述所选协变量对潜在变量影响的一小部分非零路径系数的结构系数矩阵开发了稀疏解。模拟研究的结果表明,与扩散先验相比,惩罚先验在处理小样本量和协变量之间的共线性方面具有优势。仅具有全局惩罚(岭回归和套索回归)的先验产生更高的模型收敛率和功效,而同时具有全局和局部惩罚(马镫和 SSP)的先验则为中等和大协变量效应提供更准确的参数估计。马镫和 SSP 提高了因子分数预测的准确性,同时实现了更简约的模型。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2024 APA,保留所有权利)。

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