Bilgin Gizem M, Munira Syarifah Liza, Lokuge Kamalini, Glass Kathryn
National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
PLOS Glob Public Health. 2023 Aug 24;3(8):e0000915. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000915. eCollection 2023.
Maternal pneumococcal vaccines have been proposed as a method of protecting infants in the first few months of life. In this paper, we use results from a dynamic transmission model to assess the cost-effectiveness of a maternal pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine from both healthcare and societal perspectives. We estimate the costs of delivering a maternal pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine, the healthcare costs averted, and productivity losses avoided through the prevention of severe pneumococcal outcomes such as pneumonia and meningitis. Our model estimates that a maternal pneumococcal program would cost $606 (2020 USD, 95% prediction interval 437 to 779) from a healthcare perspective and $132 (95% prediction interval -1 to 265) from a societal perspective per DALY averted for one year of vaccine delivery. Hence, a maternal pneumococcal vaccine would be cost-effective from a societal perspective but not cost-effective from a healthcare perspective using Sierra Leone's GDP per capita of $527 as a cost-effectiveness threshold. Sensitivity analysis demonstrates how the choice to discount ongoing health benefits determines whether the maternal pneumococcal vaccine was deemed cost-effective from a healthcare perspective. Without discounting, the cost per DALY averted would be $292 (55% of Sierra Leone's GDP per capita) from a healthcare perspective. Further, the cost per DALY averted would be $142 (27% GDP per capita) from a healthcare perspective if PPV could be procured at the same cost relative to PCV in Sierra Leone as on the PAHO reference price list. Overall, our paper demonstrates that maternal pneumococcal vaccines have the potential to be cost-effective in low-income settings; however, the likelihood of low-income countries self-financing this intervention will depend on negotiations with vaccine providers on vaccine price. Vaccine price is the largest program cost driving the cost-effectiveness of a future maternal pneumococcal vaccine.
母体肺炎球菌疫苗已被提议作为一种在婴儿出生后最初几个月保护他们的方法。在本文中,我们使用动态传播模型的结果,从医疗保健和社会角度评估母体肺炎球菌多糖疫苗的成本效益。我们估计了提供母体肺炎球菌多糖疫苗的成本、避免的医疗保健成本以及通过预防肺炎和脑膜炎等严重肺炎球菌疾病后果而避免的生产力损失。我们的模型估计,从医疗保健角度来看,一项母体肺炎球菌计划每避免一个伤残调整生命年(DALY),每年疫苗接种的成本为606美元(2020年美元,95%预测区间为437至779美元);从社会角度来看,每避免一个DALY的成本为132美元(95%预测区间为-1至265美元)。因此,以塞拉利昂人均国内生产总值527美元作为成本效益阈值,母体肺炎球菌疫苗从社会角度来看具有成本效益,但从医疗保健角度来看则不具有成本效益。敏感性分析表明,对持续健康效益进行贴现的选择如何决定母体肺炎球菌疫苗从医疗保健角度是否被视为具有成本效益。如果不进行贴现,从医疗保健角度来看,每避免一个DALY的成本将为292美元(占塞拉利昂人均国内生产总值的55%)。此外,如果在塞拉利昂能够以与泛美卫生组织参考价格清单上相同的成本相对于肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)采购肺炎球菌多糖疫苗(PPV),那么从医疗保健角度来看,每避免一个DALY的成本将为142美元(占人均国内生产总值的27%)。总体而言,我们的论文表明母体肺炎球菌疫苗在低收入环境中具有潜在的成本效益;然而,低收入国家自行资助这一干预措施的可能性将取决于与疫苗供应商就疫苗价格进行的谈判。疫苗价格是推动未来母体肺炎球菌疫苗成本效益的最大项目成本。