Department of Global Public Health, Institute of Medicine, University of Tsukuba.
Department of Public Health and Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo.
J Epidemiol. 2024 Jun 5;34(6):295-300. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20230217. Epub 2024 Mar 31.
In Japan, older drivers have been encouraged to surrender their driving licenses for traffic safety, despite the potential adverse social and health outcomes of driving cessation. We reconsidered such policies and social pressure by comparing the risk of at-fault motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) across the age groups of drivers.
Using the national data of police-reported MVCs that occurred between 2016 and 2020, we examined the number of at-fault MVCs per licensed driver (MVC rate) and the number of fatally and non-fatally injured persons per at-fault MVC by the sex and age groups of at-fault drivers.
The MVC rate of older drivers was higher than that of middle-aged drivers but lower than that of young drivers. The number of injured persons among the collided counterparts (collided car occupants, motorcyclists, bicyclists, and pedestrians) per MVC caused by older drivers was not greater than that by drivers in other age groups. In fatal MVCs caused by older drivers, drivers themselves or their passengers tend to be killed rather than their collided counterparts. Overall, the results were mostly consistent between male and female drivers.
The risk of at-fault MVCs increased with the advancing age of drivers after middle age; however, this risk among older drivers did not exceed that among young drivers, without posing a high risk of injuries to their collided counterparts.
在日本,为了交通安全,鼓励老年司机放弃驾照,尽管停止驾驶可能会带来负面的社会和健康后果。我们通过比较不同年龄段司机的过错性机动车碰撞(MVC)风险,重新考虑了这些政策和社会压力。
利用 2016 年至 2020 年期间警方报告的 MVC 全国数据,我们检查了每有证司机发生的过错性 MVC 数量(MVC 发生率),以及每个过错性 MVC 中致命和非致命受伤人数按过错司机的性别和年龄组划分的情况。
老年司机的 MVC 发生率高于中年司机,但低于年轻司机。老年司机造成的碰撞(碰撞车乘客、摩托车手、骑自行车者和行人)中受伤人数不比其他年龄组司机造成的多。在老年司机造成的致命 MVC 中,司机本人或其乘客往往会死亡,而不是他们的碰撞对象。总体而言,男性和女性司机的结果基本一致。
过错性 MVC 的风险随着司机年龄从中年以后的增长而增加;然而,老年司机的这种风险并未超过年轻司机,对其碰撞对象造成的受伤风险不高。