School of International Relations, Fundação Getulio Vargas, Avenida Paulista 542, São Paulo, 01310-000, Brazil.
Department of Political Science, Vanderbilt University, 230 Appleton PI, Nashville, TN, 37203, USA.
Nat Commun. 2023 Nov 9;14(1):7241. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-42729-x.
The ability of climate skeptics to block climate action depends on prevailing beliefs among the public. Research in advanced democracies has shown skepticism about the existence, the causes, and the consequences of climate change to be associated with socio-demographic features and political ideology. Yet, little is known about climate-related beliefs elsewhere. We address this gap by mapping beliefs in climate change and their correlates in Latin America. We show skepticism over the existence and anthropogenic origins of climate change to be limited, but identify a high number of skeptics around the severity of its consequences. Furthermore, we show skepticism to be correlated with psychological rather than socio-political factors: individualistic worldviews in particular drive disbelief in the severe consequences of climate change, a worrying finding in contexts where social trust is low. These findings offer a starting point for better addressing the constraining effects of climate skepticism in the Global South.
气候怀疑论者阻止气候行动的能力取决于公众普遍持有的信念。在先进民主国家开展的研究表明,对气候变化的存在、原因和后果的怀疑与社会人口特征和政治意识形态有关。然而,对于其他地区与气候相关的信仰,我们知之甚少。我们通过绘制拉丁美洲气候变化相关信仰及其关联因素来填补这一空白。我们发现,对气候变化的存在和人为起源的怀疑是有限的,但发现有相当数量的人对其后果的严重性持怀疑态度。此外,我们发现怀疑论与心理因素而非社会政治因素有关:特别是个人主义世界观导致人们不相信气候变化的严重后果,这在社会信任度低的情况下是一个令人担忧的发现。这些发现为在全球南方更好地应对气候怀疑论的限制作用提供了一个起点。