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长期 NO 暴露与死亡率:一项综合荟萃分析。

Long-term NO exposure and mortality: A comprehensive meta-analysis.

机构信息

School of Energy and Environmental Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, Beijing, 100083, China.

School of Energy and Environmental Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, Beijing, 100083, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2024 Jan 15;341:122971. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.122971. Epub 2023 Nov 18.

DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2023.122971
PMID:37984474
Abstract

In response to the World Health Organization's (WHO) revised annual mean nitrogen dioxide (NO) standard from 40 μg/m to 10 μg/m, reflecting the growing evidence linking long-term exposure to ambient NO and excess mortality, we conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis incorporating 11 new studies published since the WHO analysis. Our investigation involved a systematic search of three major databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus) for articles published until July 1, 2022. We employed random effects models to calculate summarized risk ratios (RR) along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall and subgroup analyses. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess result robustness, and publication bias was evaluated using funnel plots and Egger's linear regression. Out of 2799 identified articles, 56 were included in our meta-analysis. The findings indicate a heightened risk of all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality associated with long-term exposure to ambient NO, with pooled RR values of 1.03 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.05), 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.10), and 1.03 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.05) per 10 μg/m increase, respectively. Substantial heterogeneity (I = 84%-96%) among studies was observed. Subgroup analysis revealed significantly elevated RR values in Asia and Oceania (p-value <0.05). The aggregated values for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were slightly larger than those reported in previous studies. Our study emphasizes the imperative to develop more patient cohorts and conduct age-refined analyses to explore the impact of existing chronic diseases on these associations. Further, additional cohorts in Asia and Oceania are essential to fortify evidence in these regions. Lastly, we recommend using fused multi-source data with higher spatiotemporal resolution for individual exposure representation to minimize heterogeneity among studies in future research.

摘要

针对世界卫生组织(WHO)将年度平均二氧化氮(NO)标准从 40μg/m 修订为 10μg/m,反映出长期暴露于环境 NO 和超额死亡率之间关联的证据不断增加,我们进行了一项综合荟萃分析,纳入了自 WHO 分析以来发表的 11 项新研究。我们通过系统检索三个主要数据库(PubMed、Web of Science 和 Scopus),搜索截至 2022 年 7 月 1 日发表的文章,采用随机效应模型计算汇总风险比(RR)及总体和亚组分析的 95%置信区间(CI)。进行敏感性分析以评估结果稳健性,并使用漏斗图和 Egger 线性回归评估发表偏倚。在 2799 篇确定的文章中,有 56 篇纳入荟萃分析。研究结果表明,长期暴露于环境 NO 与全因、心血管和呼吸道死亡率升高相关,每增加 10μg/m,汇总 RR 值分别为 1.03(95%CI:1.02,1.05)、1.07(95%CI:1.04,1.10)和 1.03(95%CI:1.02,1.05)。研究之间存在显著的异质性(I=84%-96%)。亚组分析显示,亚洲和大洋洲的 RR 值显著升高(p 值<0.05)。全因和心血管死亡率的汇总值略大于之前研究报告的值。本研究强调需要开发更多的患者队列,并进行年龄细化分析,以探索现有慢性疾病对这些关联的影响。此外,亚洲和大洋洲的额外队列对于加强这些地区的证据至关重要。最后,我们建议在未来的研究中使用具有更高时空分辨率的融合多源数据来代表个体暴露,以最小化研究之间的异质性。

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引用本文的文献

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Associations of long-term nitrogen dioxide exposure with a wide spectrum of diseases: a prospective cohort study of 0·5 million Chinese adults.长期二氧化氮暴露与多种疾病的关联:一项对50万中国成年人的前瞻性队列研究。
Lancet Public Health. 2024 Dec;9(12):e1047-e1058. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00264-0.
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Does lung function mediate the role of environmental pollution on overall and cardiovascular disease mortality?
肺功能是否介导了环境污染对全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率的作用?
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