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伊朗北部六波 COVID-19 期间住院患者的人口统计学、临床特征和结局:一项大型队列研究。

Demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes in hospitalized patients during six waves of COVID‑19 in Northern Iran: a large cohort study.

机构信息

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Health Research Institute, Babol University of Medical Science, Babol, Iran.

Cellular and Molecular Biology Research Center, Health Research Institute, Babol University of Medical Sciences, Babol, Iran.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Dec 18;13(1):22527. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-50139-8.

Abstract

Since the first report of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Iran, our country has experienced several waves of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Northern Iran was one of the most affected regions of the country by COVID-19. In the current study, the demographic and clinical characteristics and outcomes of hospitalized patients were determined over a 2-year period (during six waves of SARS-CoV-2). This is a large cohort study investigating hospitalized patients with suspected and probable, and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Babol district, northern Iran, during the two years of COVID-19. The study population included patients admitted to four hospitals affiliated with Babol University of Medical Sciences between March 7, 2020 (start of the first wave) and March 20, 2022 (end of the sixth wave). Epidemiological and demographic characteristics, real-time PCR, cycle thresholds, clinical data and outcomes of COVID-19 were analyzed in 24,287 hospitalized patients. A total of 24,287 hospitalized patients were included in the study: 13,250 (46.6%) patients were suspected of having COVID-19, 11037(45.4%) were confirmed COVID-19 cases. The mean age of confirmed COVID-19 patients was 54.5 ± 18.9 years and 5961 (54%) were female. The median length of hospitalization for COVID-19 survivors and non-survivors was 5 (interquartile range [IQR] 4-8) and 7 (IQR 3-15) days, respectively. Of the patients with confirmed COVID-19, 714 (6.5%) died during hospitalization. In addition, the mortality rate from the first to the sixth wave was 22.9%, 8.1%, 9.9%, 6.8%, 2.7% and 3.5% in confirmed COVID-19 patients. The patients in the fifth wave were significantly younger than the others (mean age and SD of 51.1 ± 17.4 versus 59.2 ± 16.9, 54.7 ± 19.9, 58.4 ± 17.9, 53.5 ± 16.8 and 58.5 ± 25.1 years; p<0.001). The highest in-hospital mortality rate was 22.9% (126/551) in the first wave and the lowest in the fifth wave was 2.7% (96/3573) of cases. In conclusion, in the present study, the in-hospital mortality rate was 6.5% and more than half of the deceased patients were ≥65 years old. Male gender, advanced age and comorbidities significantly increased the mortality rate. The patients in the fifth wave were significantly younger than those in the other waves, and the lowest mortality rate and intensive care unit admission were also observed in the fifth wave.

摘要

自 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在伊朗的首例报告以来,我国经历了几波严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)感染。伊朗北部是该国 COVID-19 感染最严重的地区之一。在当前的研究中,在 2 年期间(在 SARS-CoV-2 的六波中)确定了住院患者的人口统计学和临床特征及结局。这是一项大型队列研究,调查了 2020 年 3 月 7 日(第一波开始)至 2022 年 3 月 20 日(第六波结束)期间,伊朗北部巴博勒区疑似和可能以及确诊 SARS-CoV-2 感染的住院患者。研究人群包括巴博勒医科大学附属的四家医院收治的患者。在 24287 名住院患者中,分析了 COVID-19 的流行病学和人口统计学特征、实时 PCR、循环阈值、临床数据和结局。共有 24287 名住院患者纳入研究:13250 名(46.6%)患者疑似患有 COVID-19,11037 名(45.4%)为确诊 COVID-19 病例。确诊 COVID-19 患者的平均年龄为 54.5 ± 18.9 岁,5961 名(54%)为女性。COVID-19 幸存者和非幸存者的中位住院时间分别为 5(四分位距 [IQR] 4-8)和 7(IQR 3-15)天。在确诊 COVID-19 的患者中,714 名(6.5%)在住院期间死亡。此外,从第一波到第六波,确诊 COVID-19 患者的死亡率分别为 22.9%、8.1%、9.9%、6.8%、2.7%和 3.5%。第五波的患者明显比其他波年轻(平均年龄和标准差分别为 51.1 ± 17.4 比 59.2 ± 16.9、54.7 ± 19.9、58.4 ± 17.9、53.5 ± 16.8 和 58.5 ± 25.1 岁;p<0.001)。第一波的住院死亡率最高,为 22.9%(126/551),而第五波的死亡率最低,为 2.7%(96/3573)。总之,在本研究中,住院死亡率为 6.5%,超过一半的死亡患者年龄≥65 岁。男性、高龄和合并症显著增加死亡率。第五波的患者明显比其他波年轻,且第五波的死亡率和重症监护病房入住率最低。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4fa1/10728067/06b95e07de88/41598_2023_50139_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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