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伊朗北部 COVID-19 患者的大回顾性研究:SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR Ct 值与人口统计学数据的关联。

A Large Retrospective Study of Epidemiological Characteristics of COVID-19 Patients in the North of Iran: Association between SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR Ct Values with Demographic Data.

机构信息

Cellular and Molecular Biology Research Center, Health Research Institute, Babol University of Medical Sciences, Babol, Iran.

Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine Research Center, Health Research Institute, Babol University of Medical Sciences, Babol, Iran.

出版信息

Int J Clin Pract. 2022 Feb 28;2022:1455708. doi: 10.1155/2022/1455708. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To avoid worsening from mild, moderate, and severe diseases and to reduce mortality, it is necessary to identify the subpopulation that is more vulnerable to the development of COVID-19 unfavorable consequences. This study aims to investigate the demographic information, prevalence rates of common comorbidities among negative and positive real-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) patients, and the association between SARS-CoV-2 cycle threshold (Ct) at hospital admission, demographic data, and outcomes of the patients in a large population in Northern Iran.

METHODS

This large retrospective cross-sectional study was performed from 7 March to 20 December 2020. Demographic data, including gender, age, underlying diseases, clinical outcomes, and Ct values, were obtained from 8,318 cases suspected of COVID-19, who were admitted to four teaching hospitals affiliated to Babol University of Medical Sciences (MUBABOL), in the north of Iran.

RESULTS

Since 7 March 2020, the data were collected from 8,318 cases suspected of COVID-19 (48.5% female and 51.5% male) with a mean age of 53 ± 25.3 years. Among 8,318 suspected COVID-19 patients, 3,250 (39.1%) had a positive rRT-PCR result; 1,632 (50.2%) patients were male and 335 (10.3%) patients died during their hospital stay. The distribution of positive rRT-PCR revealed that most patients (464 (75.7%)) had a Ct between 21 and 30 (Group B).

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients, lower Ct, patients having at least one comorbidity, and male cases were significantly associated with increased risk for COVID-19-related mortality. Moreover, mortality was significantly higher in patients with diabetes, kidney disease, and respiratory disease.

摘要

目的

为了避免轻症、中症和重症患者病情恶化,降低死亡率,有必要确定更易发生 COVID-19 不良后果的亚人群。本研究旨在调查伊朗北部一个大人群中阴性和阳性实时逆转录-聚合酶链反应(rRT-PCR)患者的人口统计学信息、常见合并症患病率,以及入院时 SARS-CoV-2 循环阈值(Ct)与人口统计学数据和患者结局之间的关系。

方法

这是一项大型回顾性横断面研究,于 2020 年 3 月 7 日至 12 月 20 日进行。从伊朗北部巴博勒医科大学(MUBABOL)的四家教学医院收治的 8318 例疑似 COVID-19 患者中获得人口统计学数据,包括性别、年龄、基础疾病、临床结局和 Ct 值。

结果

自 2020 年 3 月 7 日以来,从 8318 例疑似 COVID-19 患者(48.5%为女性,51.5%为男性)中收集了数据,平均年龄为 53±25.3 岁。在 8318 例疑似 COVID-19 患者中,3250 例(39.1%)的 rRT-PCR 检测结果为阳性;1632 例(50.2%)为男性,335 例(10.3%)患者在住院期间死亡。阳性 rRT-PCR 的分布显示,大多数患者(464 例(75.7%))的 Ct 值在 21 到 30 之间(B 组)。

结论

老年患者、较低的 Ct 值、至少有一种合并症和男性患者与 COVID-19 相关死亡率增加显著相关。此外,患有糖尿病、肾病和呼吸系统疾病的患者死亡率显著更高。

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